2004 - 2021 年期间印尼 BPD 存款利率、政府银行存款利率、通货膨胀率、经济增长(GDP)和货币供应量与 1 美元兑印尼盾汇率的关系因素

Elsyan Reinette Marlissa, Zefanya Raghuel Riris Mamengko
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在分析 BPD 存款利率因子、政府银行存款利率、通货膨胀率、经济增长和货币供应量对 2004-2021 年 1 美元兑印尼盾汇率的部分和同时影响。研究方法采用了 18 年面板数据和横截面数据形式的二手数据(印尼 26 个省的季度数据)。从 BI、BPD 和 BPS 中心进行文献调查研究。采用多元线性回归分析工具进行定量分析。结果表明:(1) 部分政府银行存款利率因素、货币供应量对印尼盾兑美元汇率有正向影响,但不明显。地区发展银行存款利率、通货膨胀率、经济增长对印尼盾兑美元的汇率有负面影响,但影响显著;(2)同时,印尼发展银行存款利率、政府银行存款利率、通货膨胀率、经济增长、货币供应量等因素对印尼盾兑美元的汇率有显著影响。政府银行存款利率和货币供应量增加,印尼盾存款利率、通货膨胀率和经济增长减少,都会使印尼盾汇率上升(贬值)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Factors of BPD Deposit Interest Rate, Government Bank Deposit Interest Rate, Inflation Rate, Economic Growth (GDP) and Money Supply to the Rupiah Exchange Rate per US dollar in Indonesia for the Period 2004 - 2021
The study aims to analyze the effect of the BPD Deposit Interest Rate Factor, Government Bank Deposit Interest Rate, Inflation Rate, economic growth, and money supply affecting the exchange rate of the rupiah per US dollar in 2004-2021 partially and simultaneously. The research method uses secondary data in the form of panel data and cross section for 18 years (quarterly data on 26 provinces in Indonesia). Literature survey research from BI, BPD, and BPS Center. Quantitative analysis method using multiple linear regression analysis tools. The results showed that (1) partially, the interest rate factor of Government Bank deposits, the money supply has a positive but insignificant effect on the exchange rate of the rupiah per US dollar. Regional Development Bank deposit interest rates, inflation rates, and economic growth have a negative but significant effect on the exchange rate of the rupiah per US dollar; and (2) simultaneously, the factors of interest rates on deposits of BPD, interest rates on deposits of Government Banks, inflation rates, economic growth, money supply have a significant effect on the exchange rate of rupiah per US dollar. An increase in interest rates on deposits of Government Banks and money supply, a decrease in interest rates on deposits of BPD, inflation rates, and economic growth will increase the exchange rate of rupiah (depreciated).
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