物种入侵分析与评估

Yihan Chen, Tianqing Du, Qi Zhang, Ning Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

蒲公英等入侵物种威胁着生物多样性,并带来经济和生态风险。评估它们是否有益以及它们与当地物种的相互作用非常重要。本文探讨了入侵的发生,评估了三种物种的影响因素,最后给出了它们的入侵等级。我们使用 Vensim 模型动态模拟入侵过程,并辅以基于代理的模型(ABS)。在所有其他条件下,我们发现出生率每增加 10%,蒲公英的数量就会增加近 20%。我们构建了一个层次分析法(AHP)模型来计算不同物种的影响因子。我们的模型通过了灵敏度测试。该模型加深了我们对物种入侵动态过程的理解,为识别和控制入侵物种提供了一个理论框架。未来,我们将通过收集更全面的气象数据来改进模型,以证明季节对播种过程的影响,并尝试将谷歌搜索结果的数量替换为对生态学专家的调查,以促进我们影响因子的科学性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis and Evaluation of Species Invasion
Invasive species, like dandelions, threaten biodiversity and bring economic and ecological risks. It is important to evaluate whether they are beneficial and their interactions with local species. This article stimulates the occurrence of invasion, evaluates the influencing factors of three species, and finally provides their invasive ranking. We used the Vensim model to dynamically simulate the intrusion process and supplemented it with an Agent Based Model (ABS). Under all other conditions, we found that for every 10% increase in birth rate, the number of dandelions increases by nearly 20%. We construct an Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) model to calculate the impact factor for different species. Our models have passed sensitivity tests. The model deepens our understanding of the dynamic process of species invasion and provides a theoretical framework for the identification and control of invasive species. In the future we will improve the models by collecting more comprehensive meteorological data to demonstrate the impact of seasons on seeding processes and try to displace number of Google search results to surveys on ecology experts to promote the scientific basis of our impact factor.
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