中国能源消费水平的地区差异和空间分布动态分析

Shubo Yang, A. Jahanger, Shun Zhang, Muntasir Murshed
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文利用达古姆基尼系数和核密度估计分析了能源消费的地区差异和分布动态,并应用变异系数与静态面板模型检验了其σ收敛和β收敛特征。研究发现,各省区之间的能源消费强度存在明显差异,区域差异的主要来源是区域间差异。相比之下,区域内差异和超变强度的贡献较小,且较为相似。具体而言,东部地区的绝对差异经历了先下降、后上升、最后小幅下降的过程;中部地区的绝对差异总体波动较为明显,后期呈下降趋势,西部地区的绝对差异呈缩小趋势。在样本期内,东部、中部和西部地区均未出现极化趋势。全国和东、中、西部地区不仅存在σ趋同,而且存在绝对β趋同和条件β趋同。因此,它为深化对中国能源利用水平空间格局和区域差异的认识提供了事实依据,对促进区域间和区域内协调发展具有政策意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analyzing regional disparities and spatial distribution dynamics of energy consumption levels in China
This article uses the Dagum Gini coefficient and kernel density estimation to analyze the regional differences and distribution dynamics of energy consumption and applies the coefficient of variation with a static panel model to test its σ-convergence and β-convergence characteristics. The study finds noticeable differences in energy consumption intensity among provinces and regions, and the main source of regional differences is inter-regional differences. In contrast, the contribution of intra-regional differences and hypervariable intensity is smaller and more similar. Specifically, the absolute difference in the eastern region experienced a first decline, then a rise, and finally a slight decline; the absolute difference in the central region had a more significant overall fluctuation and a declining trend in the later period, and the absolute difference in the western region tended to narrow. No polarization trend was observed during the sample period in the eastern, central, and western regions. Not only σ-convergence but also absolute β-convergence and conditional β-convergence exist in the whole country and the eastern, central, and western regions. Therefore, it provides a factual basis for deepening the perception of the spatial pattern and regional disparity of energy utilization levels in China and has policy implications for promoting inter-regional and intra-regional coordinated development.
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