尼日利亚存款货币银行的兼并与收购:对尼日利亚经济增长贡献的实证分析(2006-2021 年)

Adesina Musa Arogundade, F. Adegbie
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摘要

尽管尼日利亚的银行定期公布令人印象深刻的业绩,但它们对尼日利亚经济增长的贡献却喜忧参半,因为一段时间以来经济增长并不稳定,而且历来以正负两个方向的振荡为特征。2005 年,尼日利亚中央银行开始了大规模的银行并购活动。本研究评估了兼并和收购存款货币银行对尼日利亚经济增长的贡献。研究采用了事后研究设计。经济增长、商业银行贷款总额和商业银行资产总额的年度总数据摘自《中央银行统计公报》,时间跨度为 2006 年至 2021 年,这些数据被认为是有效和可靠的。研究采用了描述性和推论性统计方法,并采用了自回归-分布式滞后-ARDL 模型进行数据分析。银行贷款总额--与国内生产总值(GDP)相关的增长--的弹性为 0.9951,表明在不考虑其他因素的情况下,经济增长每增长 1%,预计(经济增长)将增加 0.995。这种正相关关系在 5%的统计意义上是显著的(p = 0.009),表明银行贷款总额( )在长期内对经济增长产生积极的( )影响。此外,研究还发现,银行总资产- 与国内生产总值- 呈正相关关系。相关弹性为 0.5773,表明在不考虑其他因素的情况下,银行总资产每增加 1%,预计经济增长-将增加 0.5773%。这种正相关关系在 0.05(P = 0.018)时具有统计学意义,因此,从长期来看,银行资产总额对尼日利亚的经济增长( )具有显著的个体影响。研究得出结论,商业银行贷款总额和商业银行资产总额共同对经济增长产生积极影响。建议政策制定者关注银行的兼并和收购,继续确保银行有足够的实力支持经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mergers and Acquisition of Deposit Money Banks in Nigeria: Empirical Analysis of Contribution to the Economic Growth of Nigeria (2006-2021)
Despite impressive results declared regularly by banks in Nigeria, their contribution to the economic growth of Nigeria has been a subject of mixed results as economic growth has been inconsistent for some time and historically been characterised by oscillations in both positive and negative directions. The Central Bank of Nigeria embarked on a major Mergers and Acquisition of Banks in 2005. The study evaluated the effect of Mergers and Acquisition of Deposit Money Banks’ contribution to Economic Growth of Nigeria. The study adopted ex-post facto research design. Total yearly data for Economic Growth, Total Commercial Bank Lending and Total Commercial Bank Assets were extracted from the Central Bank Statistical Bulletin for the period 2006 to 2021 and they are considered valid and reliable. The study adopted descriptive and inferential statistics and the Auto-Regressive-Distributed Lag-ARDL model was adopted for data analysis.The elasticity of Total Bank Lending- upsurges pertaining to Gross Domestic Product (GDP)- is 0.9951, indicating that ceteris paribus, a 1% rise in is expected to increase (Economic Growth ) by 0.995. The positive nexus was statistically significant at 5% (p = 0.009), showing that Total Bank Lending ( ) impact economic growth positively ( ) in the long run. Furthermore, the study revealed that the Total Bank Assets- depicted a positive nexus with GDP- . The elasticity of pertaining to is 0.5773, indicating that ceteris paribus, a 1% rise in is expected to increase Economic Growth- by 0.5773%. The positive nexus was statistically significant at 0.05 (p = 0.018), hence denoting that Total Bank Assets have a significant individual impact on Economic Growth ( ) in Nigeria in the long run. The study concluded that Total Commercial Bank Lending and Total Commercial bank Assets jointly influenced Economic Growth positively. It is recommended that the policy makers should pay attention to Mergers and Acquisition of Banks and continue to ensure that banks are strong enough to support Economic Growth.
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