Muhammad Fadhil, Zilrahmi Aditya, Yenni Kurniawati, Tessy Octavia Mukhti
{"title":"基于反向传播算法的人工神经网络在预测雅加达综合指数(IHSG)收盘价中的应用","authors":"Muhammad Fadhil, Zilrahmi Aditya, Yenni Kurniawati, Tessy Octavia Mukhti","doi":"10.24036/ujsds/vol2-iss1/137","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Investing is highly common in Indonesia. Continuous investment activities carried out by the community will increase economic activity and employment opportunities, increase national income, and increase the level of prosperity of the community. In carrying out share buying and selling transactions, there is a means for companies to obtain funds from official financiers or investors, which is called the capital market. One of the indices issued by the IDX is the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG). Statistics can be used to help investors, the government, or related institutions to predict the value of the IHSG. One method that can be used to predict data is an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Backpropagation method is a multi-layer ANN method that works in a supervised learning. The idea of the Backpropagation algorithm is that the input of the neural network is evaluated against the desired output results of the research showed that the BP (4,6,1) model produced an RMSE value of 28,24024 and a MAPE value of 0.00342%. Based on the results of this research, an Artificial Neural Network model based on the Backpropagation Algorithm can be applied to predict the IHSG Closing Price value.","PeriodicalId":220933,"journal":{"name":"UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science","volume":"1 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Implementation of an Artificial Neural Network Based on the Backpropagation Algorithm in Forecasting the Closing Price of the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG)\",\"authors\":\"Muhammad Fadhil, Zilrahmi Aditya, Yenni Kurniawati, Tessy Octavia Mukhti\",\"doi\":\"10.24036/ujsds/vol2-iss1/137\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Investing is highly common in Indonesia. Continuous investment activities carried out by the community will increase economic activity and employment opportunities, increase national income, and increase the level of prosperity of the community. In carrying out share buying and selling transactions, there is a means for companies to obtain funds from official financiers or investors, which is called the capital market. One of the indices issued by the IDX is the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG). Statistics can be used to help investors, the government, or related institutions to predict the value of the IHSG. One method that can be used to predict data is an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Backpropagation method is a multi-layer ANN method that works in a supervised learning. The idea of the Backpropagation algorithm is that the input of the neural network is evaluated against the desired output results of the research showed that the BP (4,6,1) model produced an RMSE value of 28,24024 and a MAPE value of 0.00342%. Based on the results of this research, an Artificial Neural Network model based on the Backpropagation Algorithm can be applied to predict the IHSG Closing Price value.\",\"PeriodicalId\":220933,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science\",\"volume\":\"1 5\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-25\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.24036/ujsds/vol2-iss1/137\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"UNP Journal of Statistics and Data Science","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.24036/ujsds/vol2-iss1/137","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Implementation of an Artificial Neural Network Based on the Backpropagation Algorithm in Forecasting the Closing Price of the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG)
Investing is highly common in Indonesia. Continuous investment activities carried out by the community will increase economic activity and employment opportunities, increase national income, and increase the level of prosperity of the community. In carrying out share buying and selling transactions, there is a means for companies to obtain funds from official financiers or investors, which is called the capital market. One of the indices issued by the IDX is the Jakarta Composite Index (IHSG). Statistics can be used to help investors, the government, or related institutions to predict the value of the IHSG. One method that can be used to predict data is an Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Backpropagation method is a multi-layer ANN method that works in a supervised learning. The idea of the Backpropagation algorithm is that the input of the neural network is evaluated against the desired output results of the research showed that the BP (4,6,1) model produced an RMSE value of 28,24024 and a MAPE value of 0.00342%. Based on the results of this research, an Artificial Neural Network model based on the Backpropagation Algorithm can be applied to predict the IHSG Closing Price value.