用于地震时间预测的混合深度学习模型

IF 1 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Anıl Utku, M. A. Akcayol
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地震是近十年来不断威胁人类的最危险的自然灾害之一。因此,采取地震预防措施极为重要。对这些危险事件的时间估计变得越来越具体,尤其是为了将地震造成的损失降到最低。本研究提出了一种混合深度学习模型,用于预测下一次地震可能发生的时间。所开发的 CNN+GRU 模型与 RF、ARIMA、CNN 和 GRU 进行了比较。使用地震数据集对这些模型进行了测试。实验结果表明,根据 MSE、RMSE、MAE 和 MAPE 指标,CNN+GRU 模型的表现优于其他模型。这项研究强调了预测地震的重要性,为采取更有效的地震预防措施提供了一种方法,并有可能最大限度地减少人员伤亡和财产损失。这项研究应被视为未来地震预测方法中的重要一步,并有助于降低地震风险。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid Deep Learning Model for Earthquake Time Prediction
Earthquakes are one of the most dangerous natural disasters that have constantly threatened humanity in the last decade. Therefore, it is extremely important to take preventive measures against earthquakes. Time estimation in these dangerous events is becoming more specific, especially in order to minimize the damage caused by earthquakes. In this study, a hybrid deep learning model is proposed to predict the time of the next earthquake to potentially occur. The developed CNN+GRU model was compared with RF, ARIMA, CNN and GRU. These models were tested using an earthquake dataset. Experimental results show that the CNN+GRU model performs better than others according to MSE, RMSE, MAE and MAPE metrics. This study highlights the importance of predicting earthquakes, providing a way to help take more effective precautions against earthquakes and potentially minimize loss of life and material damage. This study should be considered an important step in the methods used to predict future earthquakes and supports efforts to reduce earthquake risks.
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来源期刊
gazi university journal of science
gazi university journal of science MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
11.10%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: The scope of the “Gazi University Journal of Science” comprises such as original research on all aspects of basic science, engineering and technology. Original research results, scientific reviews and short communication notes in various fields of science and technology are considered for publication. The publication language of the journal is English. Manuscripts previously published in another journal are not accepted. Manuscripts with a suitable balance of practice and theory are preferred. A review article is expected to give in-depth information and satisfying evaluation of a specific scientific or technologic subject, supported with an extensive list of sources. Short communication notes prepared by researchers who would like to share the first outcomes of their on-going, original research work are welcome.
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