印度拉普提河流域降雨变异性及其特征的时空评估

Urvashi Malani, Sanjaykumar M. Yadav
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引用次数: 0

摘要

确定一个流域的降雨特征对于减灾规划和适应工作至关重要。本研究对网格降水量进行了时空分析,以了解拉普提盆地降水的变异性和季节性。该流域受频繁洪水的影响,因此有必要了解降水的变化情况。为了进行这项分析,我们提取了 22 个网格 30 年(1990-2020 年)的高分辨率日降水量数据。极端降雨指数根据印度气象局(IMD)决定的阈值计算。为确定降雨趋势,使用了曼肯德尔(MK)检验、修正 MK 检验和创新趋势分析,并使用斜率确定趋势的大小。确定了日降雨量、年降雨量和季节降雨量的趋势。整个流域的年降雨量呈明显下降趋势。季风季节有明显的趋势,但其他季节变化不大。在所有降雨指数中,PRCPTOT 和 SDII 呈下降趋势,森斜率分别为-2.56 和 3.00。在研究整个流域的降水量差异时,这项研究将有所帮助。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatiotemporal assessment of rainfall variability and its characteristics over Rapti River Basin, India
The determination of rainfall characteristics of a basin is obligatory for mitigation planning and adaptation. This study presents the spatiotemporal analysis of gridded precipitation to understand the variability, seasonality over the Rapti Basin. This basin is affected by frequent flooding hence it becomes necessary to understand the variability of rainfall. To carry out this analysis, daily precipitation data is extracted for 22 grids for 30 years (1990–2020) of high resolution. Extreme rainfall indices are computed as per the threshold decided by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). To determine the trend of the rainfall, Mann Kendall (MK) test, Modified MK test and Innovative Trend Analysis was used and magnitude of trend was determined using slope. Trend of daily rainfall, annual, seasonal rainfall were determined. Annual rainfall has shown significant decreasing trend over the basin. Monsoon season has a noticeable tendency, but other seasons have only seen small shifts. From all the rainfall indices, PRCPTOT and SDII has shown decreasing trend with Sen Slope of −2.56 and 3.00 respectively. While examining the variance in precipitation across the basin, this study will be helpful.
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