通过奥特曼 Z 值评估财务困境

Farid Maulana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在使用 Altman Z-Score 模型评估印度尼西亚国有建筑公司 PT Waskita Karya Tbk(WSKT)2017 年至 2022 年的财务困境状况。Altman Z-Score结合财务比率来预测破产的可能性。我们使用非制造业公司的 Z-Score 公式对 WSKT 财务报表中的二手数据进行了定量分析。研究结果表明,WSKT 曾经历过严重的财务困境。2017 年和 2022 年,WSKT 处于困境区,得分分别为 0.96570 和 0.78271。2020 年,该公司也陷入困境,负得分为-1.12303。2018 年、2019 年和 2021 年,WSKT 处于灰色区域,得分分别为 1.51502、1.05679 和 1.17451。在考察的六年中,WSKT 没有达到安全区状态。总体而言,66.67%的审查期属于 "危难区",预示着 WSKT 有很高的破产风险。为解决财务脆弱性问题,建议包括进行运营优化,以提高效率和盈利能力;实现业务组合多样化,以开拓有潜力的细分市场;以及利用 Altman Z-Score 等分析模型主动监测财务健康状况。只要严格执行纠正不良比率的战略,WSKT 就能实现财务稳定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial Distress Assessment Through Altman Z-Score
This research aims to assess the financial distress condition of PT Waskita Karya Tbk (WSKT), a state-owned construction company in Indonesia, from 2017 to 2022 using the Altman Z-Score model. The Altman Z-Score combines financial ratios to predict the likelihood of bankruptcy. Secondary data derived from WSKT’s financial statements were analyzed quantitatively using the Z-Score formula for non-manufacturing firms. The findings indicate that WSKT has experienced significant financial distress. In 2017 and 2022, WSKT was in the Distress Zone with scores of 0.96570 and 0.78271 respectively. The company was also in distress in 2020 with a negative score of -1.12303. For 2018, 2019 and 2021, WSKT was in the Grey Zone with scores of 1.51502, 1.05679 and 1.17451. WSKT did not achieve Safe Zone status during the six years examined. Overall, 66.67% of the period reviewed falls in the Distress Zone, predicting a high bankruptcy risk for WSKT. To address this financial vulnerability, recommendations include conducting operational optimization to enhance efficiency and profitability, diversifying business portfolios to tap into promising segments, and proactively monitoring financial health using analytical models like Altman Z-Score. With disciplined implementation of strategies to rectify distressed ratios, WSKT can achieve financial stability.
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