印度尼西亚摩苏纳地区 1981-2020 年降雨模式和极端气温概况(案例研究:南苏门答腊岛)

Melly Ariska, Supari Supari, Muhammad Irfan, Iskhaq Iskandar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

温室气体浓度的增加导致了极端气候事件的变化。本研究旨在描述南苏门答腊地区过去 40 年(即 1981-2020 年)的气候变化情况。南苏门答腊省的降雨量和极端气温数据来自巴伦邦市气候站(SK Palembang City Climatology Station)和苏丹马哈茂德-巴达鲁丁二世气象站(SM SMB II Meteorological Station)的 BMKG 数据。最高气温数据、最低气温和降雨量是根据南苏门答腊省的 BMKG 数据中的参数剖面图获得的,其依据是 ETCCDMI 的规定。使用 RClimDex 软件处理最高气温数据、最低气温和降雨量,从而获得气温和极端降雨指数数据。这些指数是极端气候指数,包括 TN90p、TX90p、TNn、TNx、TXx、TXx、TMAXmean、TMINmean、RX1day、RX5day、SDII、CDD 和 CWD。研究结果表明,南苏门答腊省的气温将呈明显上升趋势,尤其是最低气温,降水模式也将随之增加,尤其是连续 5 天的累积降雨量。干燥日数增加,潮湿日数减少,日降雨量增加,但潮湿日数却在逐日减少。这也对南苏门答腊省的气候变化产生了越来越大的影响,南苏门答腊省的天气一天比一天热,土地和泥炭火灾造成的烟雾灾害也越来越令人担忧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Profile of Rainfall Patterns and Extreme Air Temperatures 1981-2020 in the Mosunal Region of Indonesia (Case Study: South Sumatra)
Increasing concentrations of greenhouse gases have led to changes in extreme climate events. This study aims to describe the picture of climate change in the South Sumatra Region during the last 40 years, namely from 1981-2020. Rainfall and extreme temperature data were obtained from BMKG data for South Sumatra Province at the Palembang City Climatology Station (SK Palembang City) and the Sultan Mahmud Badaruddin II Meteorological Station (SM SMB II). Maximum temperature data, minimum temperature and rainfall were obtained based on parameter profiles obtained from BMKG data for South Sumatra Province based on the ETCCDMI provisions. Maximum temperature data, minimum temperature and rainfall are processed with RClimDex software so that temperature and extreme rain index data are obtained. These indices are extreme climate indices consisting of TN90p, TX90p, TNn, TNx,TXx, TXx, TMAXmean, TMINmean, RX1day, RX5day, SDII, CDD and CWD. The results of this study indicate that the trend of air temperature will increase significantly in South Sumatra Province, especially the minimum air temperature, then the precipitation pattern will also increase, especially the accumulation of rainfall for 5 consecutive days. There is an increase in the number of dry days and a decrease in the number of wet days, as well as the higher accumulation of daily rainfall but the wet days are decreasing day by day. This is also increasingly having an impact on climate change in South Sumatra Province which is getting hotter day by day and the smoke disaster due to land and peat fires in South Sumatra Province is increasingly worrying.
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