全球气候变化可能导致卡斯塔莫努赤松分布区的变化

IF 0.8 Q3 FORESTRY
Nihat Ertürk, B. Arıcak, H. Sevik, N. Yiğit
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究目的在全球气候变化(GCC)过程中,尤其是林木所需的迁移机制必须由人类来提供。为此,与以往的研究不同,需要在小范围内进行详细研究。研究区域:卡斯塔莫努地区林业局是土耳其木材生产水平最高的地区,本研究的目的是确定赤松属植物的实际分布区域,以及 GCC 对其适宜分布区域造成的变化。材料和方法:在这项研究中,除了现有的分布区和未来潜在的分布区外,还采用 SSP 126、SSP 370 和 SSP 585 方案确定了卡斯塔莫努的赤松在 2040、2070 和 2100 年的适宜分布区。主要结果:研究结果表明,根据气候变化的结果,赤松属植物种群的分布区域在未来会发生变化,这种变化的形式一般是增加。研究重点:如果没有人类的干预,这种树种似乎无法适应这种变化。因此,考虑到研究结果,建议对森林管理计划进行必要的修订。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Possible Change in Distribution Areas of Abies in Kastamonu due to Global Climate Change
Aim of the study: In the process of global climate change (GCC), the migration mechanism needed especially for forest trees must be provided by humans. For this purpose, contrary to the previous studies, detailed studies to be carried out on small areas are needed. Area of study: In the present study carried out in Kastamonu Regional Directorate of Forestry, which performs the highest level of wood production in Türkiye, it was aimed to specify the actual distribution areas of the Abies and the change in their suitable distribution areas due to GCC. Material and methods: In this study, besides the existing distribution areas and the potential future distribution areas, also the suitable distribution areas were determined by using SSP 126, SSP 370, and SSP 585 scenarios for the years 2040, 2070, and 2100 for Abies at Kastamonu. Main results: The results achieved there showed that, depending on the results of climate change, distribution areas of Abies populations would change in the future and this change would be in form of an increase in general. Research highlights: This species (Abies) seems incapable of keeping up with such changes without human intervention. Thus, considering the study results, it is recommended to make necessary amendments to the forest management plans.
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