{"title":"2021-2023 年全球能源危机期间德国工业企业的金融传染","authors":"A. M. Terekhov, A. Ovcharov","doi":"10.26425/2309-3633-2024-12-1-58-69","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":" The relevance of the study is justified by the importance of capturing and assessing the financial contagion transmission in crisis for the purposes of identifying risks in the financial market, as well as for the industrial sector management at the micro and macro levels. The article applies such an assessment to the largest industrial enterprises in Germany. The object of study choice is due to the fact that Germany, on the one hand, has a highly developed industrial sector and, on the other hand, was the most severely affected by the global energy crisis caused by political disagreements at the international level. The natural gas market has been chosen as a transmitter of contagion and German industrial companies as a receiver. A brief theoretical review considers the peculiarities of the functioning of the industrial sector of the German economy during the global energy crisis. The dependence of industrial production on natural gas imports has been revealed. The practical section captures financial contagion using the following tests: Forbes-Rigobon, distributional coasymmetry, distributional cocurtosis, and covolatility. A ranking of the industries contagion in Germany has been constructed. It has been found that most of the investigated companies are exposed to contagion from the gas market to a greater or lesser extent. Only three companies showed absolute resistance to contagion: Enbw Energie Baden Wuerttemberg AG, Stemmer Imaging AG, and OHB SE. The light industry, metals and mining were the most affected to the financial contagion, while the construction industry was the least affected.","PeriodicalId":150451,"journal":{"name":"UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia)","volume":" 0","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Financial contagion of German industrial enterprises during the 2021–2023 global energy crisis\",\"authors\":\"A. M. Terekhov, A. Ovcharov\",\"doi\":\"10.26425/2309-3633-2024-12-1-58-69\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\" The relevance of the study is justified by the importance of capturing and assessing the financial contagion transmission in crisis for the purposes of identifying risks in the financial market, as well as for the industrial sector management at the micro and macro levels. The article applies such an assessment to the largest industrial enterprises in Germany. The object of study choice is due to the fact that Germany, on the one hand, has a highly developed industrial sector and, on the other hand, was the most severely affected by the global energy crisis caused by political disagreements at the international level. The natural gas market has been chosen as a transmitter of contagion and German industrial companies as a receiver. A brief theoretical review considers the peculiarities of the functioning of the industrial sector of the German economy during the global energy crisis. The dependence of industrial production on natural gas imports has been revealed. The practical section captures financial contagion using the following tests: Forbes-Rigobon, distributional coasymmetry, distributional cocurtosis, and covolatility. A ranking of the industries contagion in Germany has been constructed. It has been found that most of the investigated companies are exposed to contagion from the gas market to a greater or lesser extent. Only three companies showed absolute resistance to contagion: Enbw Energie Baden Wuerttemberg AG, Stemmer Imaging AG, and OHB SE. The light industry, metals and mining were the most affected to the financial contagion, while the construction industry was the least affected.\",\"PeriodicalId\":150451,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia)\",\"volume\":\" 0\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-03-24\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia)\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.26425/2309-3633-2024-12-1-58-69\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"UPRAVLENIE / MANAGEMENT (Russia)","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.26425/2309-3633-2024-12-1-58-69","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
摘要
这项研究之所以具有现实意义,是因为把握和评估危机中的金融传染传递对于识别金融市场风险以及微观和宏观层面的工业部门管理非常重要。 本文将这种评估应用于德国最大的工业企业。 之所以选择这一研究对象,是因为德国一方面拥有高度发达的工业部门,另一方面又是受国际政治分歧引发的全球能源危机影响最严重的国家。 天然气市场被选为传染源,德国工业企业被选为传染源的接收者。简要的理论回顾探讨了全球能源危机期间德国经济工业部门运作的特殊性。其中揭示了工业生产对天然气进口的依赖。实践部分使用以下测试捕捉金融传染:福布斯-里戈本(Forbes-Rigobon)、分布共对称性(distributional coasymmetry)、分布共突变性(distributional cocurtosis)和共波动性(covolatility)。我们还对德国的行业传染情况进行了排名。结果发现,大多数被调查公司都或多或少地受到天然气市场传染的影响。只有三家公司表现出绝对的抗污染能力:Enbw Energie Baden Wuerttemberg AG、Stemmer Imaging AG 和 OHB SE。轻工业、金属和采矿业受金融传染的影响最大,而建筑业受影响最小。
Financial contagion of German industrial enterprises during the 2021–2023 global energy crisis
The relevance of the study is justified by the importance of capturing and assessing the financial contagion transmission in crisis for the purposes of identifying risks in the financial market, as well as for the industrial sector management at the micro and macro levels. The article applies such an assessment to the largest industrial enterprises in Germany. The object of study choice is due to the fact that Germany, on the one hand, has a highly developed industrial sector and, on the other hand, was the most severely affected by the global energy crisis caused by political disagreements at the international level. The natural gas market has been chosen as a transmitter of contagion and German industrial companies as a receiver. A brief theoretical review considers the peculiarities of the functioning of the industrial sector of the German economy during the global energy crisis. The dependence of industrial production on natural gas imports has been revealed. The practical section captures financial contagion using the following tests: Forbes-Rigobon, distributional coasymmetry, distributional cocurtosis, and covolatility. A ranking of the industries contagion in Germany has been constructed. It has been found that most of the investigated companies are exposed to contagion from the gas market to a greater or lesser extent. Only three companies showed absolute resistance to contagion: Enbw Energie Baden Wuerttemberg AG, Stemmer Imaging AG, and OHB SE. The light industry, metals and mining were the most affected to the financial contagion, while the construction industry was the least affected.