利用 RIM2D 快速模拟城市淹没,进行洪水风险评估和预测

H. Apel, Jakob Benisch, Björn Helm, S. Vorogushyn, Bruno Merz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着城市人口的增加和气候变化引起的暴雨增多,城市冲积洪水日益受到全世界的关注。本研究介绍了针对城市冲积洪水模拟开发的简易、GPU 加速水力模型 RIM2D。该模型将城市建成区视为水流障碍物,并引入基于容量的方法,以考虑城市透水表面的渗透排水以及屋顶和密封表面的下水道排水。通过模拟德国德累斯顿市测试区的 8 次暴雨事件,对模型性能进行了分析。在这些事件中,我们获得了详细的下水道排水测量数据,为评估下水道排水模拟提供了一个独特的数据集,这对于在城市地区进行逼真的冲积淹没模拟非常重要。此外,模拟下水道排水量与测量下水道排水量之间的不稳定变化表明,与测量结果之间的偏差是由降水输入而非模型简化造成的。我们的结论是,RIM2D 是城市淹没模拟的有效工具。它的模拟运行时间短,可以进行概率洪水风险评估和实际洪水预报。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Fast urban inundation simulation with RIM2D for flood risk assessment and forecasting
Urban pluvial flooding is a growing concern worldwide as consequence of rising urban population and climate change induced increases in heavy rainfall. Easy-to-implement and fast simulation tools are needed to cope with this challenge.This study describes the development of the parsimonious, GPU-accelerated hydraulic model RIM2D for urban pluvial flood simulations. This is achieved by considering the built-up urban area as flow obstacles, and by introducing capacity-based approaches to consider urban drainage by infiltration on pervious surfaces and sewer drainage from roofs and sealed surfaces. The model performance was analyzed by simulating 8 heavy rainfall events in a test area in the city of Dresden, Germany. For these events detailed discharge measurements of sewer discharge are available, providing a unique dataset for evaluating the sewer drainage simulation, which is of high importance for realistic pluvial inundation simulations in urban areas.We show that the model simulates the temporal dynamics of the sewer discharge and the sewer volume within acceptable ranges. Moreover, the erratic variation of the simulated to measured sewer discharge suggests that the deviations from the measurements are caused by the precipitation input rather than the model simplifications. We conclude that RIM2D is a valid tool for urban inundation simulation. Its short simulation runtimes allow probabilistic flood risk assessments and operational flood forecasts.
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