应用随机挣值法评估不稳定实施条件下办公楼建设的进展情况

IF 1.1 Q3 ENGINEERING, CIVIL
T. Kasprowicz, Anna Starczyk-Kołbyk
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引用次数: 0

摘要

REVM 方法是经典 EVM 方法的现代化选择。这种新方法是为在工程实施的不稳定条件下应用而开发的。当工程可能受到意外干扰时,必须考虑随机干扰因素对工程进程和结果的影响。其次,随机预算竣工工期和随机预算竣工成本是指每次检查后剩余工程的工期和成本,以及随机预算竣工工期和随机预算竣工成本是指现场检查后项目所有工程竣工的工期和成本。此外,还评估了工期和成本超支的风险。重要的是,REVM 方法所需的输入数据是类似的,其测量方法也与典型的进度控制相同。但应用结果包含新的决策信息。在不考虑中断风险的情况下,在确定性条件下对投资进行控制,导致最终偏离计划预算超过 7%,偏离计划完成投资近 12%。如果不对投资实施阶段的中断因素进行分析,材料和财务进度表就会完全过时。另一方面,如果在风险条件下控制投资,并根据检查报告进行适当的组织和技术改革,最终与计划预算的偏差不到 2%,与计划完工日期的偏差略高于 2%。研究证实,使用 REVM 方法得到的结果很好地反映了工程实施的实际情况。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Application of the Randomized Earned Value Method to assess the advancement of the construction of the office building under the unstable implementation conditions
The REVM method is a modernized option of classical EVM method. The new method has been developed for applying in unstable condition of works implementation. When the works can be accidentally disturbed and the impact of random disruption factors on course and results of works must be taken into consideration. Next, Randomized Budgeted Duration to Completion and Randomized Budgeted Cost to Completion that is duration and cost of works remaining to execution after each inspection, as well as the Randomized Budgeted Duration at Completion and Randomized Budgeted Cost at Completion that is duration and cost of all works of the project completion after the site inspection. Moreover, the risk of durations and costs overrun of works are evaluated. It is important that input data required for the REVM method are the similar and are measured in the same way as in typical control of advancement works. But results of the application consist new decision information. Control of the investment under deterministic conditions, without taking into account the risk of disruptions, resulted in a final deviation from the planned budget of over 7%, and from the planned completion of the investment by almost 12%. Without analysing the factor related to disruptions at the investment implementation stage, the material and financial schedule was completely outdated. On the other hand, when controlling the investment under risk conditions and introducing organizational and technological changes adequate to the inspection reports, the final deviation from the planned budget was less than 2%, and slightly more than 2% from the planned completion date. Researches confirm that the results received by using the REVM method well reflect real situation of works implementation.
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来源期刊
Archives of Civil Engineering
Archives of Civil Engineering ENGINEERING, CIVIL-
CiteScore
1.50
自引率
28.60%
发文量
0
审稿时长
24 weeks
期刊介绍: ARCHIVES OF CIVIL ENGINEERING publish original papers of the theoretical, experimental, numerical and practical nature in the fields of structural mechanics, soil mechanics and foundations engineering, concrete, metal, timber and composite polymer structures, hydrotechnical structures, roads, railways and bridges, building services, building physics, management in construction, production of construction materials, construction of civil engineering structures, education of civil engineers.
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