石油天然气公司股本估值的主要方法

Digest Finance Pub Date : 2024-03-28 DOI:10.24891/df.29.1.4
O. V. Shimko
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摘要

主题本文根据埃克森美孚公司、雪佛龙公司、康菲石油公司、西方石油公司、德文能源公司、阿纳达科石油公司、EOG 资源公司的财务报表数据,分析了评估公司价值的公认方法、阿帕奇石油公司、马拉松石油公司、帝国石油公司、Suncor 能源公司、赫斯基能源公司、加拿大自然资源公司、荷兰皇家壳牌石油公司、英国石油公司、道达尔石油公司、埃尼石油公司、Equinor(挪威国家石油公司)、中国石油天然气股份有限公司、中国石油化工集团公司、中国海洋石油总公司、巴西国家石油公司、俄罗斯天然气工业股份公司、俄罗斯国家石油公司和卢克石油公司 1999-2018 年的财务报表数据。目标。本文旨在确定使用成本法、收益法和比较法评估石油天然气公司股本价值的具体方法。在研究中,笔者使用了比较法、财务和经济分析法以及财务报告数据汇总法。文章发现,成本法相当耗时,而且不考虑当前的市场形势和投资者的未来预期,而是以财务信息为基础。领先的石油和天然气公司具有相当复杂的纵向和横向结构,因此成本法可用于评估该行业小公司的最低成本。收益法考虑到了投资者的利益,但它的应用使油价中期预测的可靠性变得复杂,这是由行业固有的油价波动造成的。而且,该行业的净收入和自由现金流在很大程度上取决于石油价格。比较法不考虑投资者的未来利益,但它有助于根据交易数据和当前市场情况快速确定公司的可能价值范围。因此,模拟公司法有助于评估股权资本成本,而交易法则有助于了解行业特有的控制权溢价水平。在评估石油和天然气公司价值时,每种标准方法都有各自的优缺点。研究结果可用于评估石油和天然气资产的价值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The main approaches to valuation of the equity capital of oil and gas companies
Subject. This article analyzes the generally accepted approaches to assessing the value of companies on the basis of financial statements data of ExxonMobil, Chevron, ConocoPhillips, Occidental Petroleum, Devon Energy, Anadarko Petroleum, EOG Resources, Apache, Marathon Oil, Imperial Oil, Suncor Energy, Husky Energy, Canadian Natural Resources, Royal Dutch Shell, BP, TOTAL, Eni, Equinor (Statoil), PetroChina, Sinopec, CNOOC, Petrobras, PJSC Gazprom, PJSC NK Rosneft and PJSC LUKOIL for 1999–2018. Objectives. The article aims to determine the specifics of using the methods of cost, income and comparative approaches in assessing the value of share capital of oil and gas companies. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative, and financial and economic analyses, and financial reporting data summarizing. Results. The article finds that the cost approach is quite time-consuming, and it does not take into account the current market situation and future expectations of investors, but is based on financial information. Leading oil and gas corporations have a rather complex vertical and horizontal structure, so the cost approach is acceptable for assessing the minimum cost of small companies in the industry. The income approach takes into account the interests of investors, but its application complicates the reliability of medium-term forecasts for oil prices, which is caused by fluctuations in oil prices inherent in the industry. And the amount of net income and free cash flow in the industry largely depends on oil prices. The comparative approach does not take into account the future interests of investors, but it helps quickly determine the range of possible value of the corporation based on data on transactions and the current market situation. Thus, the analogue company method helps evaluate the cost of equity capital, and the transaction method provides insight into the level of premium for control characteristic of the industry. Conclusions and Relevance. Each of the standard approaches has its own characteristic advantages and disadvantages when assessing the value of oil and gas companies. The findings can be used to appraise the value of oil and gas assets.
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