毛棕榈油产业集中度及影响因素：世界最大生产国印度尼西亚的案例研究

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance

Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics Pub Date : 2024-03-30 DOI:10.7160/aol.2024.160105

A. Hidayat, B. Robiani, Taufiq Marwa, S. Suhel, D. Susetyo, M. Mukhlis

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引用次数: 0

摘要

毛棕榈油（CPO）产业是对印尼经济发展具有战略意义的种植商品之一。公司数量和毛棕榈油产量一直在增加，但行业集中度却逐年下降，因此分析影响印尼毛棕榈油行业集中度的因素非常重要。本研究使用的数据时间段为 2001 年至 2020 年。本研究的数据来源于印尼中央统计局（BPS）、Word Bank 和联合国商品贸易统计数据库。使用的数据分析方法是误差修正模型（ECM）回归分析。结果表明，技术效率与氯化石蜡行业的集中度在长期和短期都存在显著的负相关关系。从长期来看，竞争力与印尼 CPO 行业的集中度呈显著的正相关关系，而从短期来看，竞争力与印尼 CPO 行业的集中度呈显著的负相关关系。从长期来看，RSPO 与印尼 CPO 行业集中度之间的关系趋向于负相关，但不显著，而在短期内则显示出显著的影响。无论是长期还是短期，世界 CPO 价格都与印尼 CPO 行业的集中度呈显著的正相关关系。印尼的长期和短期氯化石蜡出口对印尼氯化石蜡行业的集中度有显著的负面影响。

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A Crude Palm Oil Industry Concentration and Influencing Factors: A Case Study of Indonesia as the World's Largest Producer

The Crude Palm Oil (CPO) industry is one of the plantation commodities that has a strategic role in Indonesia's economic development. The number of companies and CPO production is always increasing, but the concentration of the industry that always decreases every year makes it important to analyze the factors that affect the concentration of the CPO industry in Indonesia. The data period used in this study was from 2001 to 2020. In this study, data sources were obtained from the Central Bureau of Statistics (BPS) Indonesia, Word Bank, and UN Comtrade. The data analysis method used is regression analysis of the Error Correction Model (ECM). The results showed that technical efficiency has a negative and significant relationship both in the long and short term to the concentration of the CPO industry. Competitiveness in the long term has a positive and significant relationship, while in the short term it is negative but not significant to the concentration of the Indonesian CPO industry. In the long run, the relationship between RSPO and Indonesia's CPO industry concentration tends to be negative but not significant, while in the short term it shows a significant influence. World CPO prices, both long-term and short-term, provide a positive and significant correlation to the concentration of the Indonesian CPO Industry. Indonesia's CPO exports in the long and short term have a negative and significant effect on the concentration of the Indonesian CPO industry.

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来源期刊

Agris On-line Papers in Economics and Informatics Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)

CiteScore

2.20

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： The international journal AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics is a scholarly open access, blind peer-reviewed by two reviewers, interdisciplinary, and fully refereed scientific journal. The journal is published quarterly on March 30, June 30, September 30 and December 30 of the current year by the Faculty of Economics and Management, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague. AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics covers all areas of agriculture and rural development: -agricultural economics -agribusiness -agricultural policy and finance -agricultural management -agriculture''s contribution to rural development -information and communication technologies -information and database systems -e-business and internet marketing -ICT in environment -GIS, spatial analysis and landscape planning The journal provides a leading forum for an interaction and research on the above-mentioned topics of interest. The journal serves as a valuable resource for academics, policy makers and managers seeking up-to-date research on all areas of the subject. The journal prefers scientific papers by international teams of authors who deal with problems concerning the focus of our journal in the world-wide scope with relation to Europe.