非洲政变的真相

IF 4.3 1区社会学 Q1 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Journal of Democracy Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.1353/jod.2024.a922836

K. Opalo

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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要：非洲最近发生的政变并不预示着该地区将恢复禁卫军政治。政变是特定国家历史进程的结果，与国家能力发展不足、政治体制衰败以及选举政治未能改善公民物质条件有关。同时，政变也是对非洲民主状况的一个重要警示。调查显示，大多数非洲人既对民主深感不满，又愿意接受军事干预来解决平民政治功能失调的问题。虽然由于该地区大部分国家反对军事统治的准则很强，政变蔓延的可能性很小，但民众对民主的不满和对军事干预政治的放任，带来了通过选举实现专制的真实风险。

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The Truth About Africa's Coups

Abstract: The recent coups in Africa do not portend a return to praetorian politics in the region. They are the outcomes of country-specific historical processes associated with the underdevelopment of state capacity, the decay of political institutions, and the failures of electoral politics to improve citizens' material conditions. At the same time, the coups are an important warning regarding the state of democracy in Africa. Surveys show that majorities of Africans harbor both a deep dissatisfaction with democracy and an openness to military interventions to address civilian political dysfunction. While coup contagion is a remote possibility due to strong norms against military rule in much of the region, popular dissatisfaction with democracy and permissiveness towards military interventions in politics present a real risk of autocratization through elections.

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来源期刊

Journal of Democracy POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

6.30

自引率

6.50%

发文量

期刊介绍： Since its inception in 1990, the Journal of Democracy has become an influential international forum for scholarly analysis and competing democratic viewpoints. Its articles have been cited in The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal and widely reprinted in many languages. Focusing exclusively on democracy, the Journal monitors and analyzes democratic regimes and movements in scores of countries around the world. Each issue features a unique blend of scholarly analysis, reports from democratic activists, updates on news and elections, and reviews of important recent books.