通过故意减少取样进行因果学习

Kseniya Solovyeva, David Danks, Mohammadsajad Abavisani, Sergey Plis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

对因果机制感兴趣的领域科学家通常受限于他们收集社会、物理或生物系统测量数据的频率。一个常见且合理的假设是,只有更高的测量频率才能获得更多关于底层动态因果结构的信息数据。这一假设是设计更快的新型仪器的强大动力,但这种仪器可能并不可行,甚至不可能实现。在本文中,我们证明了这一假设是错误的:在某些情况下,我们可以通过比现有仪器更慢的测量速度来获得更多关于因果结构的信息。我们提出了一种算法,利用多个测量时间尺度上的图形来推断潜在的因果结构,并证明将较慢时间尺度上的结构包含在内仍然可以减少可能的因果结构等价类的大小。我们提供了关于刻意减少取样而产生增益的概率以及增益大小的模拟数据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Causal Learning through Deliberate Undersampling.

Domain scientists interested in causal mechanisms are usually limited by the frequency at which they can collect the measurements of social, physical, or biological systems. A common and plausible assumption is that higher measurement frequencies are the only way to gain more informative data about the underlying dynamical causal structure. This assumption is a strong driver for designing new, faster instruments, but such instruments might not be feasible or even possible. In this paper, we show that this assumption is incorrect: there are situations in which we can gain additional information about the causal structure by measuring more slowly than our current instruments. We present an algorithm that uses graphs at multiple measurement timescales to infer underlying causal structure, and show that inclusion of structures at slower timescales can nonetheless reduce the size of the equivalence class of possible causal structures. We provide simulation data about the probability of cases in which deliberate undersampling yields a gain, as well as the size of this gain.

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