利用智能监控系统进行实时油井约束检测

R. Sinha, P. Songchitruksa, A. Ambade, S. Ramachandran, V. Ramanathan
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摘要

在大规模作业的油田中,工程资源捉襟见肘。由于油井数量多,产生的数据量大,油井性能问题往往被忽视。我们开发了一种先进的智能监控系统,可以更快地发现常见的油田问题和制约因素,从而缩短分析和诊断导致油井性能不佳的事件的时间,并减少油田工程师采取行动的总体时间。我们将行业专业知识与数据科学技术和机器学习相结合,构建了一系列工作流程,以主动检测油井制约因素。油井制约因素包括水合物形成、冠状阀问题、断水增加、流线堵塞、井口阀故障、结垢和不流动油井。在建立模型的所有限制类别中,检测率至少达到 88%,准确率至少达到 80%。大多数标注的事件都被成功检测到,模型还在历史数据中产生了一些常规人工分析未记录的新事件,后来经证实是真正的油井制约因素。研究中的性能不佳情况被确定为油井行为的微小变化,这些变化会随着时间的推移而发生,即使是训练有素的团队,也很难通过非数字流程检测到,而且人工监控也存在局限性和误差。该系统大大缩短了在现场采取行动的响应时间,使操作人员大大减少了油井停机时间和碳氢化合物产量。对几种机器学习分类模型进行了评估,包括基于回归和基于树的技术,以检测实时操作限制。由于逻辑分类模型在可解释性、使用统计置信度进行特征评估、实时执行效率和稳健的模型实施方面具有优势,因此被选中。通过分析历史时间序列数据并与主题专家反复验证,数据模式中的线索有助于数据标注过程。在机器学习技术中的时域和频域中都使用了特征工程技术,该技术可根据事件概率生成输出结果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Real-Time Well Constraint Detection Using an Intelligent Surveillance System
Engineering resources are stretched in a field with large-scale operations. Well performance issues are often overlooked, given the high number of wells generating a large volume of data. We developed an advanced intelligent surveillance system to detect common field problems and constraints faster, thereby reducing the time to analyze and diagnose events contributing to well underperformance and reducing the overall time for field engineers to act. Combining industry expertise with data science techniques and machine learning, a series of workflows were constructed to detect well constraints proactively. The well constraints included hydrate formation, crown valve issues, water-cut increase, flowline blockage, wellhead valve malfunction, scale formation, and nonflowing wells. A detection rate of at least 88% and an accuracy of at least 80% were achieved for all the constraint categories for which the models were built. Most labeled events were detected successfully, and the models also produced several new events in the historical data that were not documented through regular manual analysis, later verified to be genuine well constraints. The underperformance conditions in the study were identified as small changes in well behavior that occur through time and are difficult to detect with a non-digital process, even in trained teams, with human surveillance limitations and errors. The system drastically reduced the response time for taking action in the field, giving operators considerable reduction in well downtime and hydrocarbon production. Several machine learning classification models were evaluated, including regression-based and tree-based techniques to detect real-time operational constraints. A logistic classification model was selected for its strength in interpretability, feature evaluation using statistical confidence, real-time execution efficiency, and robust model implementation. Clues in data patterns assisted in the data labeling process by analyzing the historical time-series data and iteratively verifying with the subject matter experts. Feature engineering techniques were used in both time and frequency domains in a machine learning technique that generates output in terms of event probabilities.
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