信息抽样下重复测量的贝叶斯推论

Pub Date : 2024-03-01 DOI:10.1177/0282423x241235252
T. Savitsky, Luis G. León-Novelo, Helen Engle
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引用次数: 0

摘要

调查数据通常是根据多阶段、复杂的抽样设计,从具有推断意义的基本人口中随机抽取的。抽样权重与每个抽样个体所代表的人口数量成正比。如果所关注的响应变量与抽样权重相关,则抽样设计对该变量具有参考价值。相关变量在样本中的分布与在总体中的分布不同,因此需要对样本分布进行修正,以接近总体分布。我们的重点是对与每个抽样个体相关的重复(连续)测量进行基于模型的贝叶斯推断。我们为感兴趣的响应变量和抽样权重的联合估计设计了一个模型,以考虑信息抽样设计,该模型能捕捉到同一个体的测量值之间的关联,并包含个体特异性随机效应。我们证明了我们的方法能对观察到的单位样本进行正确的总体推断,并通过模拟比较了它与其他方法的性能。我们使用偏差、均方误差、覆盖率和可信区间长度对各种方法进行了比较。我们使用国家健康与营养调查饮食数据集对我们的方法进行了演示,该数据集模拟了每日蛋白质消耗量。
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Bayesian Inference for Repeated Measures Under Informative Sampling
Survey data are often randomly drawn from an underlying population of inferential interest under a multistage, complex sampling design. A sampling weight proportional to the number of individuals in the population that each sampled individual represents is released. The sampling design is informative with respect to a response variable of interest if the variable correlates with the sampling weights. The distribution for the variables of interest differs in the sample and in the population, requiring correction to the sample distribution to approximate the population. We focus on model-based Bayesian inference for repeated (continuous) measures associated with each sampled individual. We devise a model for the joint estimation of response variable(s) of interest and sampling weights to account for the informative sampling design in a formulation that captures the association of the measures taken on the same individual incorporating individual-specific random-effects. We show that our approach yields correct population inference on the observed sample of units and compare its performance with competing method via simulation. Methods are compared using bias, mean square error, coverage, and length of credible intervals. We demonstrate our approach using a National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey dietary dataset modeling daily protein consumption.
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