利用可解释混合模型加强沟槽固体沉积物预测:综述

Chinedu Ekechukwu, Antonia Chatzirodou, Hazel Beaumont, E. Eyo, Chad Staddon
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引用次数: 0

摘要

城市洪水使得我们有必要更好地了解,当各种气候和人为变量导致固体沉积物过多时,沟槽的性能如何。本研究通过对 8 个模型(包括 4 个确定性模型、2 个混合模型、1 个统计模型和 1 个概念模型)的审查,研究了沟槽中的固体沉积,这些模型代表了广泛的固体沉积过程。传统模式可以理解和管理气候变量和人为变量对固体沉积的影响,但由于对复杂和非线性变量处理不当、适用性受限、缺乏灵活性和数据偏差等原因,容易产生不确定性。事实证明,将传统模型与数据驱动方法相结合的混合模型可以改进预测,并保证开发出不确定的模型。尽管混合模型很有效,但缺乏可解释性。因此,本研究探讨了可解释人工智能(XAI)工具在应对混合模型相关挑战方面的意义。最后,提出了各种模型之间的交叉以及沟槽固体沉积建模方法的代表性工作流程。本文的结论是,可解释混合模型的应用可以解决现有模型中存在的主要局限性,因此可以作为沟壑管理的宝贵工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Enhancing solids deposit prediction in gully pots with explainable hybrid models: a review
Urban flooding has made it necessary to gain a better understanding of how well gully pots perform when overwhelmed by solids deposition due to various climatic and anthropogenic variables. This study investigates solids deposition in gully pots through the review of eight models, comprising of four deterministic models, two hybrid models, a statistical model, and a conceptual model, representing a wide spectrum of solid depositional processes. Traditional models understand and manage the impact of climatic and anthropogenic variables on solid deposition but they are prone to uncertainties due inadequate handling of complex and non-linear variables, restricted applicability, inflexibility and data bias. Hybrid models which integrate traditional models with data-driven approaches, have proved to improve predictions and guarantee the development of uncertainty-proof models. Despite their effectiveness, hybrid models lack explainability. Hence, this study explores the significance of eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) tools in addressing the challenges associated with hybrid models. Finally, crossovers between various models and a representative workflow for the approach to solids deposition modelling in gully pots is suggested. The paper concludes that the application of explainable hybrid modelling can serve as a valuable tool for gully pot management as it can address key limitations present in existing models.
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