过去 20 年巴西的估值:对收购投标评估报告所采用的前提条件的分析

Q4 Decision Sciences
Fabiano Guasti Lima, Alexandre Assaf Neto, R. C. Gatsios, Jardel Chaves Costa
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:评估报告涉及确定和采用所用评估方法的每个前提。在评估的核心中,坚实的前提对于确保所得出的价值能够代表评估中的实际情况至关重要。本研究旨在分析预测前提中采用的价值是否与一段时间内的实际价值一致。设计/方法/途径:研究考虑了评估报告中常用的十二(12)个基本前提。本研究的独特之处在于其重点关注巴西证券交易委员会在过去 20 年中提供的所有收购竞标报告。研究结果:主要结果表明,50% 的分析前提存在某种形式的偏差,主要是预测值与实际值相比有所增加。通过对配对值进行假设检验,这些结果在统计学上得到了证实。研究、实践和社会意义:这项研究不仅旨在促进参与编写评估报告的人员的专业发展,而且还鼓励今后的研究将重点放在分析所使用的前提条件及其来源的质量上。考虑到学术界对此类研究的兴趣与日俱增,这将有助于继续开展此类研究。原创性/价值:研究发现,预测前提比随后获得的实际值更加稳定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VALUATION IN BRAZIL IN THE LAST 20 YEARS: AN ANALYSIS OF THE PREMISES ADOPTED IN THE TAKEOVER BID ASSESSMENT REPORTS
Purpose: An assessment report involves defining and adopting each premise for the valuation method used. In the core of the assessment, solid premises are crucial to ensure that the resulting value is representative of the reality imposed in the evaluation. This research aimed to analyze whether the values adopted in the projection premises align with the actual values over time.   Design/Methodology/Approach: Twelve (12) essential premises commonly used in assessment reports were considered. The unique aspect of this study is its focus on all takeover bid reports available at the Securities and Exchange Commission of Brazil over the last 20 years.   Findings: The main results indicate that 50% of the analyzed premises exhibited some form of bias, predominantly an increase in the projected values compared to the actual values obtained. These findings were statistically proven through hypothesis tests for paired values.   Research, Practical & Social Implications: This research not only aims to contribute to the professional development of those involved in constructing assessment reports but also encourages future studies to focus on analyzing the quality of the premises used and their sources. This will allow for the continuation of such research, considering the growing interest in this type of study within the academic community.   Originality/Value: It was found that the projected premises are more stable than their actual values obtained subsequently.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Professional Business Review
International Journal of Professional Business Review Business, Management and Accounting-Business, Management and Accounting (miscellaneous)
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发文量
16
审稿时长
3 weeks
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