基于灰色关联分析的碳排放影响因素分析

Yixin Yang, Deyu Li
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了探究二氧化碳排放的影响因素,本文收集了2004-2021年的碳排放数据以及可能与其变化相关的几个影响因素,考虑到指标过多可能会使数据冗余,缺乏代表性,采用K-Means聚类算法对指标进行分类,并定义相应的一级指标名称,分析肘图确定模型K值。为确定模型的 K 值,利用肘图分析了最优聚类数,从而以每个聚类的中心作为一级指标数据,与归一化后的排放数据拼接形成新的数据集,最后利用灰色关联分析方法计算了一级指标与碳排放之间的相关系数。结果表明,减缓二氧化碳含量的能力对碳含量的影响最大,二者的相关系数达到 0.756,说明增加绿化面积对实现节能减排目标非常有效。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Factors Affecting Carbon Emissions based on Gray Correlation Analysis
In order to explore the influencing factors of carbon dioxide emissions, this paper collects data on carbon emissions and several influencing factors that may be related to its changes from 2004 to 2021, considering that too many indicators may make the data redundant and lack of representativeness, using the K-Means clustering algorithm to classify the indicators and defining the names of the corresponding first-level indicators, and analyzing the elbow diagrams for the determination of the model K-value. For the determination of the K value of the model, the optimal number of clusters was analyzed using the elbow diagram, so that the center of each cluster as the first-level indicator data was spliced with the normalized emission data to form a new dataset, and the correlation coefficients between the first-level indicators and the carbon emissions were finally calculated using the grey correlation analysis method. The results show that the ability to mitigate carbon dioxide content has the greatest impact on carbon content, and the correlation coefficient between the two reaches 0.756, which indicates that increasing the green area is very effective in achieving the goal of energy saving and emission reduction.
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