撒哈拉以南非洲(SSA)国家的金融发展、机构质量和经济增长

Strike Mbulawa, Samuel Chingoiro
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摘要

多年来,撒南非洲经济体的增长表现差异巨大。虽然这些差异可归因于多种因素,但人们普遍认为,经济结构的差异可解释经济衰退期间产生增长和吸收冲击的能力。本研究通过考察机构质量和金融发展对中低收入国家经济增长的影响,为相关文献做出了贡献。数据来自世界银行,时间跨度为 1975 年至 2020 年。研究采用 ARDL 模型建立了两个子样本的短期和长期动态。研究证实了金融和机构质量与增长之间的短期和长期因果关系。从长期来看,机构质量会促进低收入和中等收入国家的增长。虽然影响方向相同,但机构质量对两类国家的影响程度不同。与中等收入经济体相比,制度质量在低收入国家发挥着更重要的作用。这项研究揭示了撒哈拉以南非洲国家潜在的金融脆弱性和金融机构的系统性风险。理想的政策是提高司法判决中法律推理的质量、一致性和统一性。降低投资风险可促进金融机构向私营部门提供信贷。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Financial development, institutional quality and economic growth in countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)
Over the years, there have been huge variations in the growth performances of the economies in SSA. Whilst these disparities can be attributed to a wide range of factors, it is generally understood that differences in their economic structures explain the capacity for generating growth and absorbing shocks during a recession. This study contributes to literature by examining the impact of institutional quality and financial development on economic growth in low- and middle-income countries. Data was obtained from the World Bank and covered the period from 1975 to 2020. The study employed an ARDL model to establish both short and long run dynamics in the two sub samples. The study confirmed both short and long run causality from financial and institutional quality to growth. Institutional quality enhances growth in both low- and middle-income countries in the long run. Whilst the direction of the impact is the same, the magnitude of the impact of institutional quality is different within the two categories. Institutional quality plays a more significant role in low-income countries compared to middle income economies. The study brings out potential financial fragility and systemic risks in financial institutions among countries in SSA. Policies that enhance the quality, consistency, and uniformity of legal reasoning in judicial decisions are ideal. Reducing the risk profile for investments may enhance the flow of credit to the private sector by financial institutions.
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