替代货币政策承诺和收益率曲线*

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Prasanna Gai, Cameron Haworth
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们提出了一个简单的模型来描述中央银行的前瞻性指导、大规模资产购买和收益率曲线控制。收益率曲线对政策冲击的内生反应是货币条件的关键决定因素,可以支持或抵消政策意图。替代货币政策工具允许中央银行在政策利率处于有效下限时向投资者发出中央银行私人信息的信号,从而影响收益率曲线的反应。对这些工具的承诺提供了政策确定性,但如果经济复苏早于预期,这些承诺就会变得与时间不一致。如果承诺在时间上不一致,内生的收益率曲线收紧就会抵消过度的刺激。这种抵消的力度以及货币条件的最优性会随着投资者对中央银行私人信息推断的精确性而提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Alternative Monetary Policy Commitments and the Yield Curve*

Alternative Monetary Policy Commitments and the Yield Curve*

We present a simple model to characterise central bank forward guidance, large-scale asset purchases and yield curve control. Endogenous yield curve reactions to policy shocks are a key determinant of monetary conditions and can support or offset policy intentions. Alternative monetary policy tools allow the central bank to signal central bank private information to investors when the policy rate is at the effective lower bound, shaping yield curve reactions. Commitments to these tools offer policy certainty but can become time-inconsistent if the economy recovers sooner than expected. If commitments become time-inconsistent, endogenous yield curve tightening can offset excess stimulus. The strength of this offset, and the optimality of monetary conditions, improves with the precision of investor inferences of central bank private information.

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来源期刊
Economic Record
Economic Record ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Economic Society of Australia, the Economic Record is intended to act as a vehicle for the communication of advances in knowledge and understanding in economics. It publishes papers in the theoretical, applied and policy areas of economics and provides a forum for research on the Australian economy. It also publishes surveys in economics and book reviews to facilitate the dissemination of knowledge.
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