人口老龄化与技能收入差距的动态变化：多重中介效应分析

IF 7.4 2区经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE

Finance Research Letters Pub Date : 2024-03-13 DOI:10.1016/j.frl.2024.105242

Yihe Chu , Yujia Li , Ming Che

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了人口老龄化如何通过两个途径影响技能收入差距：技能供给和技能偏向的技术变化。本文利用简单中介效应模型和多重中介效应模型进行实证分析，发现老年抚养比的增加和少儿抚养比的降低都会提高技能劳动力的相对供给，并加剧技能偏向的技术变化。这些变化产生了双重效应：熟练劳动力供给的增加缩小了技能收入差距，而技能偏向技术变化的加强则拉大了这一差距。在这两种机制中，技能供给的影响稍显重要。

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Population aging and the dynamics of the skill income gap: An analysis of a multiple mediation effect

This paper investigates how population aging influences the skill income gap via two pathways: the skill supply and skill-biased technical changes. Utilizing both simple and multiple mediating effects models for empirical analysis, this paper discovers that an increase in the old-age dependency ratio and a decrease in the child dependency ratio both elevate the relative supply of skilled labor and intensify skill-biased technical changes. These changes result in a dual effect: the augmented skilled labor supply reduces the skill income gap, whereas the enhanced skill-biased technical changes raise it. Among these two mechanisms, the impact of skill supply emerges as slightly more significant.

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来源期刊

Finance Research Letters BUSINESS, FINANCE-

CiteScore

11.10

自引率

14.40%

发文量

863

期刊介绍： Finance Research Letters welcomes submissions across all areas of finance, aiming for rapid publication of significant new findings. The journal particularly encourages papers that provide insight into the replicability of established results, examine the cross-national applicability of previous findings, challenge existing methodologies, or demonstrate methodological contingencies. Papers are invited in the following areas: Actuarial studies Alternative investments Asset Pricing Bankruptcy and liquidation Banks and other Depository Institutions Behavioral and experimental finance Bibliometric and Scientometric studies of finance Capital budgeting and corporate investment Capital markets and accounting Capital structure and payout policy Commodities Contagion, crises and interdependence Corporate governance Credit and fixed income markets and instruments Derivatives Emerging markets Energy Finance and Energy Markets Financial Econometrics Financial History Financial intermediation and money markets Financial markets and marketplaces Financial Mathematics and Econophysics Financial Regulation and Law Forecasting Frontier market studies International Finance Market efficiency, event studies Mergers, acquisitions and the market for corporate control Micro Finance Institutions Microstructure Non-bank Financial Institutions Personal Finance Portfolio choice and investing Real estate finance and investing Risk SME, Family and Entrepreneurial Finance