基于迁移学习法的锅炉过热器参数预测

IF 1.7 4区 工程技术 Q3 THERMODYNAMICS
Shuiguang Tong, Qi Yang, Zheming Tong, Haidan Wang, Xin Chen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

锅炉过热器是将高温蒸汽输送到汽轮机进行发电的关键设备。目前,锅炉过热器的温度、流量和压力预测存在变率波动大、时序耦合性强、多电厂数据利用等问题。本文提出了一种基于迁移学习模型的锅炉过热器参数预测方法,实现了多电厂数据的联合利用。该方法首先收集一个垃圾焚烧锅炉电厂的数据对长短期记忆(LSTM)-变换器模型进行预训练,然后在新电厂上完成迁移学习训练。所提出的方法具有预测精度高、鲁棒性好的优点,在发生剧烈变化时,位置预测更加可靠。在测试集上的预测结果与实验值的差±5%以内。与未经过迁移学习训练的模型相比,在 3 分钟至 15 分钟的所有预测区间内,所提出的方法都达到了最低的相对误差。与线性回归(LR)、支持向量回归(SVR)和随机森林(RF)相比,拟议方法的平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)分别提高了 30%、13% 和 20%。通过实验验证,迁移学习方法获得了更平坦的损失锐度值和更好的鲁棒性能。最后,实现了具有实时数据可视化监控、参数预测和故障预警功能的发电厂数字系统设计。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PREDICTION OF PARAMETERS OF BOILER SUPERHEATER BASED ON TRANSFER LEARNING METHOD
The superheater in the boiler is the key of equipment connecting high-temperature steam to the turbine for power generation. At present, the problems of large variable fluctuations, strong timing coupling and multi-power plant data utilization prevent the temperature, flow and pressure prediction of the boiler superheater. In this paper, a method for predicting the parameters of boiler superheater based on a transfer learning model is proposed, which realizes the joint utilization of data from multiple power plants. The method first collects data from a waste incineration boiler power plant for pre-training the long short-term memory (LSTM)-transformer model, and then completes the transfer learning training on the new power plant. The proposed method has the advantages of high prediction accuracy, good robustness, and more reliable location prediction with drastic changes. The predictions on the test set are within ±5% of the experimental value. Compared with the model not trained by the transfer learning, the proposed method achieves the lowest relative errors for all prediction intervals in the 3 min-15 min range. Compared to the linear regression (LR), support vector regression (SVR) and random forest (RF), the proposed method improve the average absolute percentage error (MAPE) by 30%, 13% and 20%, respectively. Flatter loss sharpness value and better robust performance obtained from the transfer learning method is verified by an experimental verification. Finally, a digital system design for power plants with real-time data visualization monitoring, parameter prediction and fault warning functions are implemented.
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来源期刊
Heat Transfer Research
Heat Transfer Research 工程技术-热力学
CiteScore
3.10
自引率
23.50%
发文量
102
审稿时长
13.2 months
期刊介绍: Heat Transfer Research (ISSN1064-2285) presents archived theoretical, applied, and experimental papers selected globally. Selected papers from technical conference proceedings and academic laboratory reports are also published. Papers are selected and reviewed by a group of expert associate editors, guided by a distinguished advisory board, and represent the best of current work in the field. Heat Transfer Research is published under an exclusive license to Begell House, Inc., in full compliance with the International Copyright Convention. Subjects covered in Heat Transfer Research encompass the entire field of heat transfer and relevant areas of fluid dynamics, including conduction, convection and radiation, phase change phenomena including boiling and solidification, heat exchanger design and testing, heat transfer in nuclear reactors, mass transfer, geothermal heat recovery, multi-scale heat transfer, heat and mass transfer in alternative energy systems, and thermophysical properties of materials.
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