预测资金来源结构对农业生产活动成果的影响

Olessya Misnik, N. Kuchukova, Zhanar Lukpanova, Aisulu Kulmaganbetova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章介绍了为评估资金来源对哈萨克斯坦农业中小型企业生产活动成果的影响而进行的研究。在建立模型时,作者使用了相关和回归分析方法,包括配对回归计算以及建立统计方程的方法。研究使用了有关农业中小企业通过自有资金、政府资源(优惠贷款、补贴和租赁)以及从银行、小额信贷组织、信贷合伙企业和租赁公司借入资金等非国有资金来源进行融资的统计数据。首先,研究结果表明,银行贷款和私营企业租赁融资等因素对产量的影响不大。其次,在所分析的所有因素中,小额信贷组织和信贷合作机构的融资对总产量的影响最大,这决定并表明了发展非国有融资渠道的必要性。第三,为实现经济发展的战略目标,确保达到所需的粮食安全水平,需要采取综合办法,将国家财政支持和现有的非国家财政资源结合起来。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Forecasting the Impact of the Structure of Financing Sources on the Results of Production Activity in Agriculture
The study conducted to assess the impact of the source of financing on the results of production activities of small and medium-sized businesses in agriculture in Kazakhstan is presented in the article. When building the model, the authors used the method of correlation and regression analysis, including calculations of pairwise regression, as well as the method of building statistical equations. Statistical data on the volume of financing of SMEs in agriculture by way of own funds, government resources (concessional lending, subsidies, and leasing), and non-state sources of financing such as borrowed funds from banks, microfinance organizations, credit partnerships, and leasing companies were used as the factors. Firstly, the results of the study showed that such factors as bank lending and leasing financing by private companies do not have a significant impact on production volumes. Secondly, of all the factors analyzed, the greatest impact on gross output was made by financing by microfinance organizations and credit partnerships, which determines and indicates the need for the development of non-state sources of financing. Thirdly, a comprehensive approach combining state financial support as well as available non-state financial resources is needed to achieve the strategic objectives of economic development and ensure the required level of food security.
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