大流行病期间货币政策对印度尼西亚银行盈利能力的影响分析

R. Cahyadi, Eugenia Mardanugraha
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摘要

本研究旨在使用广义矩法(GMM)方法,利用印尼 93 家银行的面板数据,分析大流行病期间货币政策对印尼银行盈利能力的影响,时间跨度为 2017-2022 年。这项研究的动机来自于发现货币政策与银行盈利能力之间的关系同时非常重要,因为它对维护货币稳定和金融体系稳定的努力具有重大影响。研究结果表明,在 2017-2022 年期间,以 BI7DRR 政策利率为形式的货币政策对 ROA、ROE 和 NIM 比率有显著的正向影响。此外,BI7DRR利率政策在大流行前和大流行期间对ROA和ROE有显著的正向影响,其中大流行期间对ROA的影响更大,大流行前对ROE比率的影响更大。这反映出印尼的银行尚未完全找到预测政策利率降低对其盈利能力影响的方法。同时,考虑到银行并未立即通过降低信贷利率来应对 BI7DRR 的下降,因此 BI7DRR 仅在大流行前对 NIM 有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of the Effect of Monetary Policy on Bank Profitability in Indonesia During the Pandemic
This research aims to analyze the impact of monetary policy on bank profitability in Indonesia during the pandemic using panel data from 93 banks in Indonesia with a time span from 2017-2022 using the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) approach. The motivation for this research comes from the identification that the relationship between monetary policy and bank profitability is simultaneously very important because it has significant implications in efforts to maintain monetary stability and financial system stability. The research results show that there is a significant positive impact of monetary policy in the form of the BI7DRR policy interest rate on the ROA, ROE and NIM ratios in the 2017-2022 period. Furthermore, the BI7DRR interest rate policy had a significant positive effect on ROA and ROE before and during the pandemic with a greater influence during the pandemic for ROA and during the pre-pandemic period for the ROE ratio. This reflects that banks in Indonesia have not yet fully found a way to anticipate the impact of lower policy interest rates on their profitability. Meanwhile, BI7DRR only had a significant effect on NIM in the pre-pandemic period, considering that the decline in BI7DRR was not immediately responded to by banks by reducing credit interest rates.
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