调查沿海农业中小农和边缘农户对气候多变性及其决定因素的适应战略:印度东海岸的证据

IF 2.5 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Sumit Panja, Sayani Mukhopadhyay
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引用次数: 0

摘要

政府间气候变化专门委员会(IPCC)提到,沿海地区将是气候变化引起的多变性和极端气候的最大受害者,严重影响农业社区,尤其是发展中国家的农业社区。农民正在根据不同的社会经济、制度和地点因素,发展不同的以田地和生计为基础的适应机制。以前的研究主要集中在农业及其对气候变化的适应战略上,但在气候多变性背景下考虑沿海农业的研究在很大程度上是空白。本研究旨在找出印度东海岸沿海农业应对气候变异机制的控制因素。通过问卷调查和重点小组讨论,收集并验证了农民对气候多变性的看法。研究采用了二元 logit 模型,确定了社会经济农业系统属性和地点因素会影响农民采取农业和生计适应措施的决定。大多数农民(80%)认为降雨变异性增加,这是该地区农业面临的主要问题。逻辑回归模型成功预测了每个模型中近 70% 的变量。该模型表明,经验、教育、土地所有权、参与海洋捕捞以及与海岸的距离等变量影响着对气候变异的适应机制。研究结果强调了在气候多变性背景下更好地管理沿海农业需要更多关注的因素,有助于在印度沿海地区和具有类似背景的地区制定更好的气候适应政策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

An investigation of small and marginal holder farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate variability and its determinants in coastal agriculture: evidence from east coast of India

An investigation of small and marginal holder farmers’ adaptation strategies to climate variability and its determinants in coastal agriculture: evidence from east coast of India

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has mentioned that coastal areas would be the worst sufferers of climate change-induced variabilities and extremes, severely affecting the farming community, particularly in developing countries. Farmers are developing different field-based and livelihood-based adaptive mechanisms depending on several socio-economic, institutional and locational factors. Previous studies were concentrated on agriculture and its adaptation strategies against climate change, but considering coastal agriculture in the context of climate variability is largely unexplored. This study aims to find controlling factors of coping mechanisms against climate variability for coastal agriculture on the east coast of India. A questionnaire survey and focused group discussion have been conducted to collect and validate farmers’ perceptions of climate variability. The study has applied a binary logit model and established that socio-economic farming system attributes and locational factors influence farmers’ decision to adopt farm-level and livelihood adaptations. Most farmers (> 80%) have perceived that rainfall variability has increased, which is a major issue for agriculture in this area. The logistic regression models successfully predicted nearly 70% of the variables in each model. The model indicated that variables like experience, education, land ownership, involvement with marine fishing and distance from the coast influenced adaptation mechanisms against climate variability. The findings of the study have underlined the factors that need more attention for better management of coastal agriculture in the context of climate variability and can help to formulate better climate adaptation policies in the coastal areas of India and areas with similar backgrounds.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
6.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
50
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Earth''s biosphere is being transformed by various anthropogenic activities. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change addresses a wide range of environment, economic and energy topics and timely issues including global climate change, stratospheric ozone depletion, acid deposition, eutrophication of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, species extinction and loss of biological diversity, deforestation and forest degradation, desertification, soil resource degradation, land-use change, sea level rise, destruction of coastal zones, depletion of fresh water and marine fisheries, loss of wetlands and riparian zones and hazardous waste management. Response options to mitigate these threats or to adapt to changing environs are needed to ensure a sustainable biosphere for all forms of life. To that end, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change provides a forum to encourage the conceptualization, critical examination and debate regarding response options. The aim of this journal is to provide a forum to review, analyze and stimulate the development, testing and implementation of mitigation and adaptation strategies at regional, national and global scales. One of the primary goals of this journal is to contribute to real-time policy analysis and development as national and international policies and agreements are discussed and promulgated.
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