在健康、政治和银行危机期间,黄金、比特币、二氧化碳、大宗商品、VIX 和国际股票市场之间的相关性有何影响?

IF 2 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Risks Pub Date : 2024-03-04 DOI:10.3390/risks12030047
Wajdi Frikha, Azza Béjaoui, Aurelio F. Bariviera, Ahmed Jeribi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了黄金、小麦和原油期货、比特币、碳排放期货以及七国集团、金砖国家和海湾地区的国际股票市场之间的关联性,以及与健康、银行和政治危机相关的外生和意外冲击的爆发。为此,我们对 2019 年 1 月 2 日至 2023 年 4 月 21 日期间不同资产的收益率采用了基于小波的方法。实证研究结果表明,市场之间存在时变联系是有据可查的,在 COVID-19 大流行期间这种联系似乎更强。然而,随着俄乌战争的爆发,这种联系似乎有所减弱。实证结果还表明,以 VIX 指数衡量的投资者风险意识与不同地区的股票市场之间存在实质性的负相关。随着硅谷破产的爆发,关联性分析中还出现了其他有趣的发现。特别是,在银行危机期间,比特币倾向于重新成为一些七国集团股市的避险资产。这些发现可以为投资者和政策制定者在不同危机期间不同市场之间的关系提供有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Matters for Comovements among Gold, Bitcoin, CO2, Commodities, VIX and International Stock Markets during the Health, Political and Bank Crises?
This paper analyzes the connectedness between gold, wheat, and crude oil futures, Bitcoin, carbon emission futures, and international stock markets in the G7, BRICS, and Gulf regions with the outbreak of exogenous and unexpected shocks related to health, banking, and political crises. To this end, we use a wavelet-based method on the returns of different assets during the period 2 January 2019, to 21 April 2023. The empirical findings show that the existence of time-varying linkages between markets is well documented and appears stronger during the COVID-19 pandemic. However, it seems to diminish for some associations with the advent of the Russia-Ukraine War. The empirical results also show that investor risk perceptions measured by the VIX are negatively and substantially linked to stock markets in different regions. Other interesting findings emerge from the connectedness analysis with the outbreak of Silicon Valley bankruptcy. In particular, Bitcoin tends to regain its role as a safe-haven asset against some G7 stock markets during the bank crisis. Such findings can provide valuable insights for investors and policymakers concerning the relationship between different markets during different crises.
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来源期刊
Risks
Risks Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
22.70%
发文量
205
审稿时长
11 weeks
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