基于多视角异构数据的股价预测混合模型

IF 6.9 1区 经济学 Q1 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Wen Long, Jing Gao, Kehan Bai, Zhichen Lu
{"title":"基于多视角异构数据的股价预测混合模型","authors":"Wen Long, Jing Gao, Kehan Bai, Zhichen Lu","doi":"10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Literature shows that both market data and financial media impact stock prices; however, using only one kind of data may lead to information bias. Therefore, this study uses market data and news to investigate their joint impact on stock price trends. However, combining these two types of information is difficult because of their completely different characteristics. This study develops a hybrid model called MVL-SVM for stock price trend prediction by integrating multi-view learning with a support vector machine (SVM). It works by simply inputting heterogeneous multi-view data simultaneously, which may reduce information loss. Compared with the ARIMA and classic SVM models based on single- and multi-view data, our hybrid model shows statistically significant advantages. In the robustness test, our model outperforms the others by at least 10% accuracy when the sliding windows of news and market data are set to 1–5 days, which confirms our model’s effectiveness. Finally, trading strategies based on single stock and investment portfolios are constructed separately, and the simulations show that MVL-SVM has better profitability and risk control performance than the benchmarks.","PeriodicalId":37175,"journal":{"name":"Financial Innovation","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":6.9000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A hybrid model for stock price prediction based on multi-view heterogeneous data\",\"authors\":\"Wen Long, Jing Gao, Kehan Bai, Zhichen Lu\",\"doi\":\"10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Literature shows that both market data and financial media impact stock prices; however, using only one kind of data may lead to information bias. Therefore, this study uses market data and news to investigate their joint impact on stock price trends. However, combining these two types of information is difficult because of their completely different characteristics. This study develops a hybrid model called MVL-SVM for stock price trend prediction by integrating multi-view learning with a support vector machine (SVM). It works by simply inputting heterogeneous multi-view data simultaneously, which may reduce information loss. Compared with the ARIMA and classic SVM models based on single- and multi-view data, our hybrid model shows statistically significant advantages. In the robustness test, our model outperforms the others by at least 10% accuracy when the sliding windows of news and market data are set to 1–5 days, which confirms our model’s effectiveness. Finally, trading strategies based on single stock and investment portfolios are constructed separately, and the simulations show that MVL-SVM has better profitability and risk control performance than the benchmarks.\",\"PeriodicalId\":37175,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Financial Innovation\",\"volume\":\"24 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":6.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2024-02-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Financial Innovation\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w\",\"RegionNum\":1,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q1\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Financial Innovation","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-023-00519-w","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

文献表明,市场数据和财经媒体都会对股票价格产生影响;但是,仅使用一种数据可能会导致信息偏差。因此,本研究使用市场数据和新闻来研究它们对股价走势的共同影响。然而,由于这两类信息的特点完全不同,因此很难将它们结合起来。本研究通过将多视角学习与支持向量机(SVM)相结合,开发了一种名为 MVL-SVM 的混合模型,用于预测股价趋势。该模型只需同时输入异构多视角数据,即可减少信息损失。与基于单视角和多视角数据的 ARIMA 模型和经典 SVM 模型相比,我们的混合模型在统计上具有显著优势。在稳健性测试中,当新闻和市场数据的滑动窗口设置为 1-5 天时,我们的模型比其他模型至少高出 10%,这证明了我们模型的有效性。最后,分别构建了基于单只股票和投资组合的交易策略,模拟结果表明 MVL-SVM 的盈利能力和风险控制性能均优于基准。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A hybrid model for stock price prediction based on multi-view heterogeneous data
Literature shows that both market data and financial media impact stock prices; however, using only one kind of data may lead to information bias. Therefore, this study uses market data and news to investigate their joint impact on stock price trends. However, combining these two types of information is difficult because of their completely different characteristics. This study develops a hybrid model called MVL-SVM for stock price trend prediction by integrating multi-view learning with a support vector machine (SVM). It works by simply inputting heterogeneous multi-view data simultaneously, which may reduce information loss. Compared with the ARIMA and classic SVM models based on single- and multi-view data, our hybrid model shows statistically significant advantages. In the robustness test, our model outperforms the others by at least 10% accuracy when the sliding windows of news and market data are set to 1–5 days, which confirms our model’s effectiveness. Finally, trading strategies based on single stock and investment portfolios are constructed separately, and the simulations show that MVL-SVM has better profitability and risk control performance than the benchmarks.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Financial Innovation
Financial Innovation Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
11.40
自引率
11.90%
发文量
95
审稿时长
5 weeks
期刊介绍: Financial Innovation (FIN), a Springer OA journal sponsored by Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, serves as a global academic platform for sharing research findings in all aspects of financial innovation during the electronic business era. It facilitates interactions among researchers, policymakers, and practitioners, focusing on new financial instruments, technologies, markets, and institutions. Emphasizing emerging financial products enabled by disruptive technologies, FIN publishes high-quality academic and practical papers. The journal is peer-reviewed, indexed in SSCI, Scopus, Google Scholar, CNKI, CQVIP, and more.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信