COVID-19 流行病在空间上是同步的吗?2020-2022 年里约热内卢州卫生区分析。

Léa de Freitas Amaral, Raquel Martins Lana, Leonardo Soares Bastos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的分析2020年3月至2022年12月期间里约热内卢州9个卫生区内COVID-19的时空动态:方法:使用随机效应泊松模型对流感流行病学监测信息系统(SIVEP-Gripe)报告的COVID-19住院发病率进行平滑和估算,以验证该州疫情的同步性:结果:该州 COVID-19 流行病的特点是在分析期间出现了七个高峰,分别对应七个发现。根据该州九个卫生区的不同病毒变种,发现住院人数存在不同步现象。在大流行期间,每 10 万名居民中的住院病例峰值从 1 例到 12 例不等:结论:这种时空分析适用于其他情况,有助于对不同地区的流行病控制情况进行监测和决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Was the COVID-19 epidemic synchronous in space? An analysis in the health regions of the Rio de Janeiro state, 2020-2022.

Objective: To analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of COVID-19 in the Rio de Janeiro state within the nine health regions, between March 2020 and December 2022.

Methods: The Poisson model with random effects was used to smooth and estimate the incidence of COVID-19 hospitalizations reported in the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System (SIVEP-Gripe) to verify the synchronicity of the epidemic in the state.

Results: The COVID-19 epidemic in the state is characterized by the presence of seven peaks during the analyzed period corresponding to seven found. An asynchrony in hospitalizations was identified, varying according to the different virus variants in the nine health regions of the state. The incidence peaks of hospitalizations ranged from 1 to 12 cases per 100,000 inhabitants during the pandemic.

Conclusion: This spatio-temporal analysis is applicable to other scenarios, enabling monitoring and decision-making for the control of epidemic diseases in different areas.

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