特大城市是极端热浪的起搏器

IF 9.1 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Xueli Yang, Zhi-Hua Wang, Chenghao Wang, Ying-Cheng Lai
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引用次数: 0

摘要

全球气候变化已被证明会导致更长、更剧烈和更频繁的热浪,而集中在城市地区的人为压力因素是热浪的一个关键因素。在这项研究中,我们结合复杂网络和因果分析,调查了美国 520 个城市热浪期间的因果相互作用。在构建的因果网络中,区域中介因素的存在以及远距离远程联系都非常明显。更重要的是,纽约市和芝加哥等特大城市与其他大多数城市存在因果联系,并在热浪期间对城市网络结构起着中介作用。我们还发现,因果关系的强度与特大城市的人口总数之间存在明显的正相关关系。这些发现证实了人类活动(如人为排放温室气体或废热)对城市热浪的影响。远距离联系和超级节点的出现为预测和适应全球气候变化下的热浪提供了信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

Megacities are causal pacemakers of extreme heatwaves

Megacities are causal pacemakers of extreme heatwaves
Global climate change has been shown to cause longer, more intense, and frequent heatwaves, of which anthropogenic stressors concentrated in urban areas are a critical contributor. In this study, we investigate the causal interactions during heatwaves across 520 urban sites in the U.S. combining complex network and causal analysis. The presence of regional mediators is manifest in the constructed causal networks, together with long-range teleconnections. More importantly, megacities, such as New York City and Chicago, are causally connected with most of other cities and mediate the structure of urban networks during heatwaves. We also identified a significantly positive correlation between the causality strength and the total populations in megacities. These findings corroborate the contribution of human activities e.g., anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases or waste heat, to urban heatwaves. The emergence of teleconnections and supernodes are informative for the prediction and adaptation to heatwaves under global climate change.
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