利用模糊逻辑和危险性与可操作性对液化石油气充装行业进行风险评估

Hicham Oubellouch, Soulhi Aziz
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究的目的是将危险与可操作性(HAZOP)分析和模糊逻辑相结合,以改进液化石油气(LPG)灌装行业的风险评估。研究引入了一种新方法,以解决传统风险评估方法中固有的不确定性和不精确信息。利用 HAZOP,由行业专家进行定性分析,确定潜在的工艺偏差和危险,并按火灾、爆炸和环境破坏等影响类型进行分类。模糊逻辑通过使用 "高"、"中 "和 "低 "等语言变量来评估事故的可能性和后果,从而量化这些风险。不同参数的模拟考虑了各种情况,包括后果严重程度、事件频率和检测能力对使用模糊-Hazop 模型的整体风险的相互作用。结果提供了更精确和可操作的风险评估,显示了 Hazop 与模糊逻辑相结合在液化石油气灌装过程安全测量方面的潜力。研究得出结论,HAZOP 与模糊逻辑可评估不确定条件下的风险,为基于风险的设计流程提供了更清晰的决策选择。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Risk assessment for the liquefied petroleum gas filling industry using fuzzy logic and hazard and operability
The object of this study is to integrate Hazard and Operability (HAZOP) analysis and Fuzzy Logic to improve risk assessment in the Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) filling industry. the research introduces a new approach to resolve the uncertainties and imprecise information inherent in traditional risk evaluation methods. Using HAZOP, a qualitative analysis conducted by the experts of industry identifies potential process deviations and hazards, categorized by impact type such as fire, explosion, and environmental damage. Fuzzy Logic, quantifies these risks by evaluating the likelihood and consequences of accidents using linguistic variables like "high," "medium," and "low." The simulation of different parameters considers various scenarios, including the interplay of consequence severity, event frequency, and detection capability on overall risk using model fuzzy-Hazop. The results provide more precision and actionable risk assessments, showing the potential of the combination of Hazop and fuzzy logic for safety measurement in the LPG filling process. The study concludes HAZOP with fuzzy logic evaluates risks in uncertain conditions, offering an alternative for clearer, decision-making in risk-based design processes.
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