在决策参与者权威性较低的小组中达成共识

O. Maksimova, Iosif Z. Aronov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

谈判程序正规化的复杂性促使人们寻找建立数学模型的全新方法。通过对共识的理论研究,我们可以抛开群体的具体特征,分析参与群体决策过程的社会群体所遇到的各种情况。在文章中,我们基于马尔可夫链的建模方法,建立了一个参与者专制程度较低的群体数学模型。对模型的分析表明,随着小组成员宽松程度的增加,达成共识的时间会呈指数增长,这显然是由于谈判者缺乏为决策负责的意愿。专制程度低的参与者所在小组的谈判次数差异随着小组规模的缩小而增大。这表明,在缺乏对决策负责的意愿的情况下,这类小组缺乏协调。研究表明,在由两名绝对宽松的参与者组成的二人小组中,无法达成共识。对于参与者中专制程度较低的群体,可能会出现虚假共识或群体思维等心理 "陷阱",有时会导致管理决策产生严重后果。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Achieving Consensus in Groups with Low Authoritarianism of Participants in Decision Making
The complexity of formalizing negotiation procedures leads to the search for fundamentally new approaches to building mathematical models. The theoretical study of consensus makes it possible to analyze various situations encountered by social groups participating in the group decision-making process, leaving aside specific characteristics of the groups. In the article, we built a mathematical model for a group with low authoritarianism among participants based on modeling using Markov chains. The analysis of the model showed that as the leniency of the group members increases, the time to reach consensus increases exponentially, apparently due to the negotiators' lack of desire to take responsibility for the decision. The differences between the number of negotiations in groups of participants with low authoritarianism are greater as the size of the group is smaller. This indicates a lack of coordination in such groups in the absence of a desire to take responsibility for the decision-making. It was revealed that in a dyad of two absolutely lenient participants, consensus is unattainable. For a group with low authoritarianism among participants, psychological "traps" such as false consensus or groupthink are possible, which can sometimes lead to managerial decisions with serious consequences.
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