俄罗斯-伊朗能源合作前景

D. V. Kharitonov
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摘要

由于美国在共和党总统特朗普(D. Trump)的领导下于 2018 年退出了旨在解决伊朗核危机的《联合全面行动计划》(JCPOA),伊朗伊斯兰共和国(IRI)外交政策的非西方载体(中国、印度、俄罗斯、土耳其和其他国家)得到了加强。这一点在与伊朗最高领袖关系密切的保守派总统易卜拉欣-莱西(Ebrahim (Ibrahim) Raisi)上台后尤为明显。为了摆脱美国及其盟国在外交政策上的孤立以及金融和经济制裁的压力,德黑兰越来越多地参与主要国际实体的活动,如上海合作组织(伊朗于 2023 年 7 月 4 日成为该组织正式成员)、欧亚经济联盟(《临时自由贸易协定》已生效)和金砖国家(自 2024 年 1 月 1 日起成为该组织成员)。文章特别关注与邻国的能源发展(与俄罗斯、土库曼斯坦和阿塞拜疆)、运输和物流项目(与阿塞拜疆,一条通过伊朗通往纳希切万的铁路)。在拉伊西总统的领导下,伊朗发现了新的天然气田和油田。未来,它们将确保更高的产量和出口量。伊朗与俄罗斯计划在中期内实现通过土库曼斯坦领土向伊朗交换天然气供应,并在马克兰海岸建立天然气枢纽,向南亚和东南亚国家出口本国和俄罗斯的能源运输工具。伊-拉伊西政府特别关注马克兰自由经济区(FEZ)和基什岛自由经济区的发展。同时,这也是一块重要的领土,不仅在地缘经济、运输和物流方面,而且在军事方面:查赫贝哈尔(Chahbehar)和贾斯克(Jask)海港处于中东和南亚(以及更远的东南亚)能源交流的十字路口,具有地缘战略意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PROSPECTS FOR RUSSIAN-IRANIAN ENERGY COOPERATION
Due to the withdrawal of the United States under Republican President D. Trump in 2018 from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) to resolve the Iranian nuclear crisis, non-Western vector of foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI) (China, India, Russia, Turkey and other states) has strengthened. It became particularly apparent with the coming to power of a conservative president close to the Supreme Leader of Iran, Ebrahim (Ibrahim) Raisi. Seeking to escape the foreign policy isolation and financial and economic sanctions pressure created by the United States and its allies, Tehran is increasingly participating in the activities of major international entities such as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (Iran became a full member of the Organization on July 4, 2023), the Eurasian Economic Union (Interim Free Trade Agreement is in force) and BRICS (a member of the organization since January 1, 2024).Thus, Iran declares itself as a successfully developing regional center of power. The article pays special attention to the development of energy (with Russia, Turkmenistan and Azerbaijan), transport and logistics projects (with Azerbaijan, a railway through Iran to Nakhichevan) with neighboring countries. Under President Raisi new gas and oil fields were discovered. In the future they will ensure greater production and exports. With Russia, Iran in the medium term plans to realize swap gas supplies to Iran through the territory of Turkmenistan, as well as to create a gas hub on the coast of Makran to export its own and Russian energy carriers to the countries of South and Southeast Asia. The government of I. Raisi pays special attention to the development of the Macran Free Economic Zone (FEZ) and the FEZ of Kish Island. At the same time, this is a significant territory not only in geo-economic, transportation and logistics, but also in military terms: the seaports of Chahbehar and Jask are geostrategic at the crossroads of energy communications of the Middle East and South (and further Southeast) Asia.
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