气候新闻是否会动摇投资者对大型化石燃料项目融资者的信心?

Chekani Nkwaira, Huibrecht Margaretha van der Poll
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摘要

尽管气候新闻报道迅速增加,但一些银行正在增加对温室气体排放者的融资,其投资者的决策加剧了气候挑战。本研究旨在确定气候新闻对涉及银行加强化石燃料融资的投资决策的影响,并提出补救措施。研究采用了描述性分析、线性回归分析和双样本 t 检验。银行名单来源于消费者新闻和商业频道网站。股价、交易股和市值来自 Macrotrends 和公司市值网站,用于计算需求和持有期。结果显示,欧洲研讨会后对高风险银行的需求增加,而亚洲的需求减少。根据 t < T 和 p 值 > 0.05,可以确定需求和持有期之间不存在明显的线性关系。不拒绝无线性关系的零假设。欧洲的价格风险大于亚洲,平均波动率分别为 0.439871 和 0.067472,根据双样本 t 检验,p 值为 0.002117 < 0.05。拒绝波动率均值无差异的零假设。较高的波动性风险与欧洲对高风险银行股的较高需求相对应。气候新闻说服亚洲投资者减少对银行股的需求。相反,欧洲投资者表现出与气候风险缓解不相容的行为,尤其是在研讨会之后的时期。在下调化石燃料项目融资方评级的同时,还应推出全球气候风险黑名单倡议和公开的全球气候风险指数。在会议上报道这些措施可能会影响更多的投资者做出正确的决定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Does climate news sway investors away from large financiers of fossil fuel projects?
Despite rapid growth in climate news coverage, some banks are increasing financing towards greenhouse gas emitters with investors whose decisions intensify climate challenges. This study aims to establish the impact of climate news on investment decisions involving banks’ intensified fossil fuel financing and recommend remedies. Descriptive, linear regression analyses and the two-sample t-test are applied. The list of bank stems from the Consumer News and Business Channel website. Share prices, traded shares and market capitalizations are obtained from Macrotrends and Companies’ market cap websites for computing demand and holding periods. Results reveal more demand for riskier banks after European symposiums in contrast to Asia’s reduction. It is established that no significant linear relationships exist between demand and holding periods with t < T and p-value > 0.05. The null hypothesis of no linear relationship is not rejected. There is more price risk in Europe than in Asia with average volatilies of 0.439871 and 0.067472, respectively, at p-value 0.002117 < 0.05 based on the two-sample t-test. The null hypothesis of no difference in volatility means is rejected. The higher volality risk corresponds to higher demand for riskier bank shares in Europe. Climate news persuades Asian investors to reduce the demand for the banks’ shares. Conversely, European investors demonstrate behaviors incompatible with climate risk mitigation, particularly in periods after symposiums. A Global climate risk blacklisting initiative and a publicised Global climate risk index should accompany downgrades aimed at fossil fuel project financiers. Coverage of these measures at conferences may influence more investors to make correct decisions.
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