气候降雨水文地质模拟实验(CRHyME):流域地质水文灾害评估新模型

Andrea Abbate, L. Mancusi, Francesco Apadula, Antonella Frigerio, M. Papini, L. Longoni
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摘要

摘要这项工作介绍了名为 CRHyME(气候降雨水文地质建模实验)的新模型,这是一种用于地质水文灾害评估的工具。CRHyME 是一个用 Python 语言编写的基于物理的空间分布式模型,是在流域尺度上工作的经典水文模型的延伸。CRHyME 主要模拟降雨引起的地质水文不稳定性,如浅层滑坡、泥石流、集水区侵蚀和泥沙运入河流。这些现象通常与水文程序分离,而在 CRHyME 中,这些现象通过多灾害方法在同一代码中同时进行定量评估。CRHyME 在意大利北部的一些案例研究中得到了应用。其中,位于莱科市(伦巴第大区)附近、面积为 27 平方公里的卡尔多内集水区(Caldone)被认为是一个监测良好的流域,用于校准固体传输常规测试以及与数字地形分辨率相关的空间尺度依赖性。CRHyME 被应用于瓦尔泰利纳(阿尔卑斯山)和艾米利亚(亚平宁山脉)地区的较大盆地(2600 平方公里),这些盆地在近期经历了由强降水引发的严重地质水文事件。CRHyME 的验证通过 NSE(纳什-萨特克利夫效率)和 RMSE(均方根误差)水文误差指标进行评估,而对于滑坡则采用了 ROC(接收器运行特征)方法。CRHyME 能够重建位于流域出水口的参考水文站的河流排水量,以估算作为参考的一些水电站水库的泥沙产量,并确定浅层滑坡和泥石流的位置和触发条件。CRHyME 的性能良好,确保了代码的稳定性和相当快的计算速度,并保持了水量和泥沙平衡的数值保守性。CRHyME 证明自己是量化地质水文过程的合适工具,因此可用于民防多重灾害评估。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CRHyME (Climatic Rainfall Hydrogeological Modelling Experiment): a new model for geo-hydrological hazard assessment at the basin scale
Abstract. This work presents the new model called CRHyME (Climatic Rainfall Hydrogeological Modelling Experiment), a tool for geo-hydrological hazard evaluation. CRHyME is a physically based and spatially distributed model written in the Python language that represents an extension of the classic hydrological models working at the basin scale. CRHyME's main focus consists of simulating rainfall-induced geo-hydrological instabilities such as shallow landslides, debris flows, catchment erosion and sediment transport into a river. These phenomena are conventionally decoupled from a hydrological routine, while in CRHyME they are simultaneously and quantitatively evaluated within the same code through a multi-hazard approach. CRHyME is applied within some case studies across northern Italy. Among these, the Caldone catchment, a well-monitored basin of 27 km2 located near the city of Lecco (Lombardy), was considered for the calibration of solid-transport routine testing, as well as the spatial-scale dependence related to digital terrain resolution. CRHyME was applied across larger basins of the Valtellina (Alps) and Emilia (Apennines) areas (∼2600 km2) which have experienced severe geo-hydrological episodes triggered by heavy precipitation in the recent past. CRHyME's validation has been assessed through NSE (Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency) and RMSE (root mean square error) hydrological-error metrics, while for landslides the ROC (receiver operating characteristic) methodology was applied. CRHyME has been able to reconstruct the river discharge at the reference hydrometric stations located at the outlets of the basins to estimate the sediment yield at some hydropower reservoirs chosen as a reference and to individuate the location and the triggering conditions of shallow landslides and debris flows. The good performance of CRHyME was reached, assuring the stability of the code and a rather fast computation and maintaining the numerical conservativity of water and sediment balances. CRHyME has shown itself to be a suitable tool for the quantification of the geo-hydrological process and thus useful for civil-protection multi-hazard assessment.
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