为什么我们应该信任非洲的公共领导人?2019年与2021年的比较分析

Michael K. Dzordzormenyoh
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摘要

目的本研究调查了 2019 年至 2021 年间非洲 34 个国家公民对公共领导人(即总统、国会议员和地方政府领导人)信任度的影响因素。设计/方法/途径仅从非洲晴雨表第 8 轮调查中获取了样本量为 48,084 个的个人层面数据,并使用多元二元逻辑回归进行了分析。研究结果分析得出了几个重要而有趣的结论:(1) 公共领导人的表现影响公民对其领导人的信任;(2) 公共领导人和公务员的腐败感知以及腐败程度影响公民对公共领导人的信任;(3) 感知到的邻里问题(即对暴力的恐惧、对安全的恐惧)影响公民对公共领导人的信任。(4) 公民的社会人口特征(即年龄、宗教、教育、地点、就业和政党关系)影响公民对其公共领导人的信任。独创性/价值 本研究在两个方面具有特殊性:(1) 它研究并比较了非洲不同级别(即总统、国会议员和地方政府)公民对公共领导人的信任度;(2) 它比较研究并比较了影响非洲公民对公共领导人信任度的因素。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Why should we trust our public leaders in Africa? A comparative analysis between 2019 and 2021
PurposeThis study investigates the factors that influence citizens trust in public leaders [i.e. presidents, members of parliament (MPs) and local government leaders (LGs)] in 34 countries in Africa between 2019 and 2021.Design/methodology/approachIndividual-level data with a sample size of 48,084 was obtained from the Afro-Barometer round 8 survey only and analyzed using multivariate binary logistic regression.FindingsSeveral important and intriguing observations were made from this analysis: (1) the performance of public leaders influences citizens trust in their leaders; (2) the perceived corruption of public leaders and civil servants and the level of corruption influence citizens trust in public leaders; (3) perceived neighborhood problems (i.e. fear of violence, fear of terrorism and service delivery) influence citizens trust in their public leaders and (4) the socio-demographic characteristics of citizens (i.e. age, religion, education, location, employment and political party affiliation) influence citizens trust in their public leaders.Originality/valueThis study is exceptional in two ways: (1) it examines and compares citizens trust in public leaders across different levels, i.e. presidents, MPs and LGs in Africa and (2) it examines and compares the factors influencing citizens trust in public leaders in Africa comparatively.
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