基于 BIGRU 网络和误差辨别校正的风能估算混合模型

Yalong Li, Ye Jin, Yangqing Dan, Wenting Zha
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引用次数: 0

摘要

准确估算风力发电量对于预测和维持电力系统的功率平衡至关重要。本文提出了一种新方法,通过神经网络与误差辨别校正技术相结合的混合模型来提高风功率估算的准确性。为了提高估算精度,本文开发了一种双向门控递归单元,通过训练形成初始风功率估算曲线。此外,基于序列模型的算法配置优化了双向门控递归单元的网络超参数。为解决估算误差问题,多层感知器与基于序列模型的算法配置相结合,创建了一个可自动判别估算质量的分类模型。随后,根据灰色相关度和相关性误差设计出一种创新的修正模型,以纠正错误的估计值。最终的估算值由初始估算值和误差修正值相加得出。通过分析中国西北某风电场的真实数据,模拟测试验证了所提出的混合模型。实验结果表明,与初始模型相比,建模精度有了大幅提高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Hybrid model for wind power estimation based on BIGRU network and error discrimination‐correction
Accurate estimation of wind power is essential for predicting and maintaining the power balance in the power system. This paper proposes a novel approach to enhance the accuracy of wind power estimation through a hybrid model integrating neural networks and error discrimination‐correction techniques. In order to improve the accuracy of estimation, a bidirectional gating recurrent unit is developed, forming an initial wind power estimation curve through training. Additionally, a sequential model‐based algorithmic configuration optimizes bidirectional gating recurrent unit's network hyperparameters. To tackle estimation errors, a multi‐layer perceptron combined with sequential model‐based algorithmic configuration is employed to create a classification model that automatically discerns the quality of estimates. Subsequently, an innovative correction model, based on grey relevancy degree and relevancy errors, is devised to rectify erroneous estimates. The final estimates result from a summation of the initial estimates and the values derived from error corrections. By analysing the real data from a wind farm in northwest China, a simulation test validates the proposed hybrid model. Experimental results demonstrate a substantial improvement in modelling accuracy when compared to the initial model.
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