机器学习中财务报表整合对股价预测的影响

F. W. Christanto, Victor Gayuh Utomo, Rastri Prathivi, Christine Dewi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在资本市场上,投资者使用两种方法进行股价预测,即基本面分析和技术分析。在计算机科学领域,可以利用机器学习(ML)进行预测,包括股价预测。虽然有研究结果表明,基本面参数和技术参数都能给出最佳预测结果,但机器学习领域还没有证实这一结果。本研究使用支持向量回归(SVR)和支持向量机(SVM)作为预测股价的 ML 方法进行实验。此外,还比较了三组参数的结果,即仅技术参数 (TEC)、仅财务报表 (FIN) 和两者的组合 (COM)。实验结果表明,整合财务报表对 SVR 预测的影响是中性的,但对 SVM 预测的影响是积极的,本研究中模型的准确率达到 83%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Financial Statement Integration in Machine Learning for Stock Price Prediction
In the capital market, there are two methods used by investors to make stock price predictions, namely fundamental analysis, and technical analysis. In computer science, it is possible to make prediction, including stock price prediction, use Machine Learning (ML). While there is research result that said both fundamental and technical parameter should give an optimum prediction there is lack of confirmation in Machine Learning to this result. This research conducts experiment using Support Vector Regression (SVR) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) as ML method to predict stock price. Further, the result is compared between 3 groups of parameters, technical only (TEC), financial statement only (FIN) and combination of both (COM). Our experimental results show that integrating financial statements has a neutral impact on SVR predictions but a positive impact on SVM predictions and the accuracy value of the model in this research reached 83%.
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