Kenneth Kin Cheung Chow, Housseyni Sankaré, Emilia P. Diaconescu, Trevor Q. Murdock, Alex J. Cannon
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Bias-adjusted and downscaled humidex projections for heat preparedness and adaptation in Canada
To help with preparedness efforts of Canadian public health and safety systems for adaptation to climate change, the humidity index (humidex) and three threshold-based humidex indices (annual number of days with humidex greater than 30, 35 and 40) were computed for a multi-model ensemble of climate change projections, over Canada. The ensemble consists of one run from each 19 Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) global climate models and offers historical simulations starting in 1950 and future projections out to 2100 following Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs): SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5. Each ensemble member was bias-adjusted and statistically downscaled using the Multivariate bias correction—N-dimensional probability density function transform (MBCn) with hourly data from ERA5-Land as the target dataset and following a method proposed by Diaconescu et al. (2023; International Journal of Climatology, 43, 837) to calculate humidex from daily climate model outputs. This paper details the steps for data production including evaluation of the target historical gridded data and selection of downscaling method and presents some of the resulting humidex projections at the end of the century.
Geoscience Data JournalGEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
CiteScore
5.90
自引率
9.40%
发文量
35
审稿时长
4 weeks
期刊介绍:
Geoscience Data Journal provides an Open Access platform where scientific data can be formally published, in a way that includes scientific peer-review. Thus the dataset creator attains full credit for their efforts, while also improving the scientific record, providing version control for the community and allowing major datasets to be fully described, cited and discovered.
An online-only journal, GDJ publishes short data papers cross-linked to – and citing – datasets that have been deposited in approved data centres and awarded DOIs. The journal will also accept articles on data services, and articles which support and inform data publishing best practices.
Data is at the heart of science and scientific endeavour. The curation of data and the science associated with it is as important as ever in our understanding of the changing earth system and thereby enabling us to make future predictions. Geoscience Data Journal is working with recognised Data Centres across the globe to develop the future strategy for data publication, the recognition of the value of data and the communication and exploitation of data to the wider science and stakeholder communities.