Dmitry Mukhin, Semen Safonov, Andrey Gavrilov, Andrey Gritsun, Alexander Feigin
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A new tool for studying seasonality and spatio-temporal structure of ENSO cycles in data and ESM simulations
In this work, we present a new diagnostic tool for El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) simulations in Earth System Models (ESMs) based on the analysis of upper ocean heat content data. It allows us to identify the seasonally dependent structure of temperature anomalies in the equatorial Pacific Ocean in the form of a dominant spatio-temporal pattern. We demonstrate the results of applying a tool to analysis of real data as well as climate simulations in two versions of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics ESM. We find that the latest version of the model, with improved parameterizations of clouds, large-scale condensation, and aerosols, provides significantly better reproduction of ENSO-related structure of anomalies, as well as the phase locking of ENSO to the annual cycle. We recommend to use the tool for diagnostic analysis of ESMs regarding simulation of climate phenomena with strong seasonality.
期刊介绍:
The Russian Journal of Numerical Analysis and Mathematical Modelling, published bimonthly, provides English translations of selected new original Russian papers on the theoretical aspects of numerical analysis and the application of mathematical methods to simulation and modelling. The editorial board, consisting of the most prominent Russian scientists in numerical analysis and mathematical modelling, selects papers on the basis of their high scientific standard, innovative approach and topical interest.
Topics:
-numerical analysis-
numerical linear algebra-
finite element methods for PDEs-
iterative methods-
Monte-Carlo methods-
mathematical modelling and numerical simulation in geophysical hydrodynamics, immunology and medicine, fluid mechanics and electrodynamics, geosciences.