弥补缺口:危机后中央银行经济学家在宏观金融崛起中的作用

Matthias Thiemann, Stefan Priester
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2008 年的金融危机暴露了经济建模中的严重盲点,打破了该行业声称能够预测和控制宏观经济变量的说法,在此之后,主流学术经济话语是如何演变以重获其认识论权威的?为了回答这个问题,我们对1990年至2019年学术期刊上发表的近7万篇宏观经济学和金融学论文进行了内容和文献计量分析。这些分析揭示了宏观经济学与金融学之间的结构性和解如何创建了宏观金融这一新的子领域。我们表明,在中央银行新获得的宏观审慎授权的推动下,中央银行经济学家的贡献是其建立的关键。他们在监管科学的空间内采取行动,将宏观经济与金融知识联系起来,以满足其雇主的行政需求,同时也帮助弥补经济学话语中的漏洞,从而为经济学的认识权威发挥了重要的稳定作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bridging the gaping hole: central bank economists’ role in the rise of macro-finance post-crisis
How has mainstream academic economic discourse evolved to regain its epistemic authority after the financial crisis of 2008 revealed serious blind spots in economic modelling that shattered the profession’s claim to be able to predict and control macroeconomic variables? To answer this question, we combine content with bibliometric analyses of nearly 70,000 papers on macroeconomics and finance published in academic journals from 1990 to 2019. These analyses reveal how a structural rapprochement between macroeconomics and finance created the new subfield of macro-finance. We show that contributions by central bank economists, driven by central banks’ newly acquired macroprudential mandate, were key to its establishment. Acting within the space of regulatory science, they connected macroeconomic and financial knowledge to satisfy their employers’ administrative needs, while also helping to bridge the gaping hole in economic discourse, thereby taking on an important stabilizing role for the epistemic authority of economics.
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