李嘉图的财务与滑铁卢:萨缪尔森等人的传说缺乏历史证据

IF 2 2区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS
Wilfried Parys
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引用次数: 0

摘要

保罗-萨缪尔森和其他人认为,李嘉图("历史上最富有的经济学家")在滑铁卢战役(1815 年)后在证券交易所进行了一次改变人生的大交易,但档案显示,李嘉图的财富是逐步积累起来的,往往是通过大额投资的微薄利润,他曾在证券交易所做过工,也曾是七笔英国贷款的承包商。1815 年的贷款为李嘉图带来了非凡的利润,但并不是关于李嘉图或罗斯柴尔德的不可靠传说中提到的百万英镑。这些传说忽视了股票价格统计、1815 年李嘉图交易的次优时机以及霸菱-安格施泰因财团的主导作用,该财团在贷款中的份额远大于李嘉图的财团。人们对 1813 年这一特殊年份也没有给予足够的关注,因为英国在这一年破例推出的贷款不是一笔,而是两笔利润丰厚的贷款。在 1813 年获得巨额利润后,李嘉图开始考虑退休,并于 1814 年买下了加特康伯公园。萨缪尔森忽略了这一点,高估了 1815 年事件的影响。此外,萨缪尔森还声称,今天的李嘉图可能会因为肆无忌惮地操纵市场和利用内部信息而被起诉。档案和统计数据表明,萨缪尔森的指控缺乏历史证据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Ricardo’s finances and Waterloo: legends by Samuelson and others lack historical evidence
Paul Samuelson and others suggested that Ricardo (‘the richest economist in history’) made a life-changing coup on the Stock Exchange after the Battle of Waterloo (1815), but archives reveal that Ricardo amassed his fortune more gradually, often by small profit rates upon large investments, as a jobber on the Stock Exchange and a contractor for seven British Loans. The 1815 Loan generated exceptional profits for Ricardo, but not the million sterling mentioned in unreliable legends about Ricardo or Rothschild. Such legends neglected the stock price statistics, the suboptimal timing of Ricardo’s transactions in 1815 and the dominant role of the Baring-Angerstein consortium, which took a much larger part of the Loans than Ricardo’s consortium. Insufficient attention was also paid to the special year 1813, when Britain exceptionally launched not one, but two very profitable Loans. After his large 1813 profits, Ricardo started contemplating his retirement and bought Gatcombe Park in 1814. Samuelson neglected this and overestimated the influence of 1815 events. Moreover, Samuelson claimed that today Ricardo might be prosecuted for using unscrupulous market manipulation and inside information. Archives and statistics show that Samuelson’s allegations lack historical evidence.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.30
自引率
5.00%
发文量
54
期刊介绍: The Cambridge Journal of Economics, founded in 1977 in the traditions of Marx, Keynes, Kalecki, Joan Robinson and Kaldor, provides a forum for theoretical, applied, policy and methodological research into social and economic issues. Its focus includes: •the organisation of social production and the distribution of its product •the causes and consequences of gender, ethnic, class and national inequities •inflation and unemployment •the changing forms and boundaries of markets and planning •uneven development and world market instability •globalisation and international integration.
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