新西兰惠灵顿盆地的现场影响和 2022 年新西兰 NSHM 应用概览

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q2 GEOCHEMISTRY & GEOPHYSICS
Anna Elizabeth Kaiser, Matt P. Hill, Chris de la Torre, Sanjay Bora, Elena Manea, Liam Wotherspoon, Gail M. Atkinson, Robin Lee, Brendon Bradley, Anne Hulsey, Andrew Stolte, Matt Gerstenberger
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们概述了新西兰国家地震危险性模型(NZ NSHM)对场地效应的处理,包括对惠灵顿中部盆地效应的案例研究。新西兰国家地震危险性模型 2022 包括场地参数从底土等级(NZS 等级)到 VS30 的变化。新西兰 VS30 特性不佳是 NSHM 中不确定性的主要来源;然而,惠灵顿先进的场地特性可以进行深入研究。首先,我们为惠灵顿市中心构建了一个区域三维剪切波速度模型和场地参数图(T0、NZS 等级和 VS30)。我们发现,在中心城区的土壤地点,新西兰国家地震和海啸监测中心 2022 危险频谱与当前等效设计频谱的比值范围在 0.8 至 2.6 之间(中位数为 1.5),具体取决于当地的地点条件和频谱周期。在惠灵顿中部观测到 0.5-2 秒的强放大峰值。在 13 个站点比较了多种方法的线性站点特定放大率,站点与站点之间的残差和相对于站点 POTS 的响应谱比都很明确。在许多较深的软弱站点(VS30<300 m/s),T0 附近出现了强烈的放大峰值,而这一峰值在平均麦格地动模型(GMM)的预测中被低估了。如果使用特定流域的 Z1.0 作为额外的场地参数,这种预测不足的情况会略有加剧。我们的研究突显了在国家地震烈度监测中心浅盆地内建立强盆地响应模型所面临的突出挑战,包括需要考虑特定地区或盆地的建模方法,以及在主导灾害的高震动强度下的非线性效应。正如惠灵顿案例研究所示,对于新西兰而言,当务之急是进一步确定地震网络的 VS30(和 VS)特征,以更好地隔离和量化地震灾害的不确定性,并对区域-GMM 调整和部分非啮合方法进行有益的探索。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Overview of Site Effects and the Application of the 2022 New Zealand NSHM in the Wellington Basin, New Zealand
We provide an overview of the treatment of site effects in the New Zealand National Seismic Hazard Model (NZ NSHM), including a case study of basin effects in central Wellington. The NZ NSHM 2022 includes a change in site parameter from subsoil class (NZS class) to VS30⁠. Poor NZ VS30 characterization is a major source of uncertainty in the NSHM; however, advanced site characterization in Wellington allows for in‐depth study. First, we construct a regional 3D shear‐wave velocity model and maps of site parameters (⁠T0⁠, NZS class, and VS30⁠) for central Wellington. At central city soil sites, we find the ratios of NZ NSHM 2022 hazard spectra with respect to the current equivalent design spectra range from factors of ∼0.8–2.6 (median ∼1.5), depending on local site conditions and spectral period. Strong amplification peaks at 0.5–2 s are observed in central Wellington. Linear site‐specific amplifications from multiple methods are compared at 13 stations and are well‐defined by both site‐to‐site residuals and response spectral ratios relative to station POTS. At many deeper soft sites (⁠VS30<300 m/s⁠), strong amplification peaks occur around T0 that are underpredicted by mean ergodic ground‐motion model (GMM) predictions. This underprediction is slightly enhanced when using basin‐specific Z1.0 as an additional site parameter. Our study highlights outstanding challenges in modeling strong basin response within shallow basins in NSHMs, including the need to consider region‐ or basin‐specific modeling approaches as well as nonlinear effects at high shaking intensities that dominate the hazard. For New Zealand, in general, as illustrated in the Wellington case study, a priority is the further characterization of VS30 (and VS⁠) for the seismic network to better isolate and quantify uncertainties in seismic hazard and allow useful exploration of regional–GMM adjustments and partially nonergodic approaches.
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来源期刊
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America 地学-地球化学与地球物理
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
13.30%
发文量
140
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America, commonly referred to as BSSA, (ISSN 0037-1106) is the premier journal of advanced research in earthquake seismology and related disciplines. It first appeared in 1911 and became a bimonthly in 1963. Each issue is composed of scientific papers on the various aspects of seismology, including investigation of specific earthquakes, theoretical and observational studies of seismic waves, inverse methods for determining the structure of the Earth or the dynamics of the earthquake source, seismometry, earthquake hazard and risk estimation, seismotectonics, and earthquake engineering. Special issues focus on important earthquakes or rapidly changing topics in seismology. BSSA is published by the Seismological Society of America.
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