优化蒙古可再生能源电力系统的正常运行模式

A. Rusina, T. Osgonbaatar, G. S. Bondarchuk, P. Matrenin
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在开发一种优化蒙古电力系统运行模式的算法,特别是中央电力系统,其中不仅包括传统的火力发电厂,还包括可再生能源(风力发电厂和太阳能发电厂)。该电力系统在蒙古的用电量和发电量中占很大份额。本文选择线性规划方法来最小化火力发电厂发电过程中的财务成本和有功功率损耗,而牛顿方法则用于最小化功率损耗。此外,文章基于排序模型,使用所研究电力系统各节点的负荷计划进行建模。负载图使用集合机器学习算法进行预测。按照电网功率损耗最小化的标准进行优化后,发现功率损耗占总耗电量的 3.05%(基本变量的功率损耗为 3.12%,火力发电厂的平均销售价格为 0.51 单位)。因此,损耗减少了 0.07 个百分点,即 2.24%。根据成本最小化标准,平均电价为 0.49 度,即降低了 3.92%。电网中的平均电力损耗减少了 0.6%。根据经验数据,所建议的算法可用于按照给定标准优化火力发电厂之间的电力分配。建议的算法使用基于 Python 的电力系统分析工具 pandapower 实现,从而创建了一个统一的电力系统运行模式预测分析系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimization of normal operation mode of an electric system with renewable energy sources in Mongolia
This article is aimed at developing an algorithm for optimizing the operation modes of the electric power system of Mongolia, particularly the central power system that include not only conventional thermal power plants, but also renewable sources (wind and solar power plants). This power system accounts for a large share of electricity consumption and generation in Mongolia. The method of linear programming was chosen to minimize financial costs and active power losses during power generation at thermal power plants, while Newton’s method was used to minimize power losses. In addition, the article uses load schedules of each node of the studied power system for its modeling based on the ranking model. Load graphs are predicted using ensemble machine learning algorithms. After the optimization by the criterion of power loss minimization in the grid, power losses were found to be 3.05% of the total power consumption (with power losses in the basic variant of 3.12% and the average selling price of thermal power plants of 0.51 units). Thus, the reduction in losses amounted to 0.07 percentage points, or 2.24%. In terms of the cost minimization criterion, the average selling price of electricity was 0.49 units, i.e., decreased by 3.92%. Average losses of electric power in the grid decreased by 0.6%. According to empirical data, the suggested algorithms can be applied to the optimization of power distribution between thermal power plants by given criteria. The suggested algorithms are implemented using pandapower, a Python-based tool for power system analysis, thus creating a unified system of predictive analytics of power system operation modes
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