使用三相生产数据的基于人工智能的成分挥发性油藏岩石物理特性预测器

Zhenzihao Zhang, Turgay Ertekin, Xianlin Ma, J. Zhan
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摘要

在考虑多相流情况时,岩石物理特性的解释对产量预测和储层建模提出了重大挑战。由于相对渗透率和毛细管压力曲线等特性几乎不受解释的约束,因此数值建模的结果具有不确定性。这种不确定性可能导致对储层性能的预测不准确以及对储层认识的偏差。由于很难从现有的现场数据中直接解释此类属性,而且取芯费用昂贵,因此很少开展确定相对渗透率和毛细管压力的分析或实验测量。这种空白可以通过一种简单而严格的方法来填补。在这项研究中,我们对多种三相组成的挥发性油藏进行了产量预测。然后,我们使用人工神经网络找出岩石物理特征和生产数据之间的关系。对人工神经网络模型进行调整,并对最终训练好的模型进行盲测,以确定其对渗透率、多相相对渗透率和毛细管压力数据的预测效果。在测试场景中,尽管存在一些错误预测,但预测值与原始预测值保持一致。为了提供可与包含初始岩石物理特征的储层模型进行比较的生产预测值,随后将预期属性传播到储层模型中。比较结果表明,在 74 个测试方案中,65/59/34 个方案的油藏模型带有人工神经网络预测特征,预测油/气/水产量的误差小于 20%。利用所开发的人工神经网络工具,油藏工程师可以从速率瞬变数据中评估三相相对渗透率面,从而方便地提高通过历史匹配或岩心实验获得的相对渗透率数据的准确性,而历史匹配或岩心实验有时成本极高。本研究的结果有助于更好地理解三相瞬态速率数据与相对渗透率面以及水平/垂直渗透率之间的关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
An artificial-intelligence-based petrophysical property predictor for compositional volatile oil reservoir using three-phase production data
When considering multiphase flow scenarios, the interpretation of petrophysical properties poses significant challenges for production forecasts and reservoir modeling. The findings of the numerical modeling were therefore subject to uncertainty because characteristics like relative permeability and capillary pressure curve were hardly ever bound by interpretations. The uncertainty may result in inaccurate predictions of reservoir performance and skewed perceptions of the reservoir. Due to the difficulty in directly interpreting such property from the available field data and the expensive cost of coring, analyses or experimental measurements to determine relative permeability and capillary pressure were infrequently carried out. Such a gap would be filled by a straightforward yet rigorous method. In this study, we develop production projections for a wide range of three-phase compositional volatile oil reservoirs. Then, we used an artificial neural network to figure out how petrophysical characteristics and production data relate to one another. The artificial neural network model was adjusted, and the final trained model was tested blindly to determine how well it predicted permeability, multiphase relative permeability, and capillary pressure data. For the testing scenarios, consistency is seen between the predicted values and the original ones, despite some mispredictions being present. To provide production projections that can be compared to those from the reservoir model that include the initial petrophysical characteristic, the anticipated properties are then propagated into reservoir models. The comparison findings show that for 65/59/34 out of 74 testing scenarios, the reservoir model with artificial neural network-predicted features can anticipate oil/gas/water output with < 20% inaccuracy. With the developed artificial neural network tool, the reservoir engineers can evaluate the three-phase relative permeability surface from rate-transient data conveniently improving the accuracy of the relative permeability data implemented by history matching or from core experiments which sometimes are extremely expensive. The findings of this study can help for a better understanding of the relationships between three-phase rate-transient data and the relative permeability surface as well as the horizontal/vertical permeability.
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