希腊的就业和职业前景与终身学习

Anna Tsiboukli, A. Efstratoglou
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摘要

本文论述了 2011-2022 年期间希腊的就业和职业前景,突出强调了充满活力、停滞不前和不断衰退的职业,还论述了不久的将来(2022-2030 年)的就业和职业前景。研究还讨论了终身学习在瞬息万变的环境中可以发挥的作用。研究显示,2011-2022 年期间,希腊的总就业率增长了 1.0%,创造了 43 002 个新工作岗位。一方面,为普通和键盘文员、卫生专业人员以及信息和通信技术专业人员创造了大量工作岗位,另一方面,也减少了大量工作岗位。因此,希腊近期的就业和职业前景需要进一步关注。本文提出的估算涉及2022-2030年期间的两位数职业代码,这些估算来自牛津模型(牛津全球经济模型--GEM)的应用,该模型由NKUA在其电子学习计划框架内管理。根据相关估计,在此期间,希腊的总就业率预计将下降3.4%,共减少143,998个工作岗位。在生产增长的环境下(牛津模型的估计),预计会出现这种负面发展,这表明了一个悖论,即经济增长期之后并没有创造新的就业机会(无就业增长)。有鉴于此,就业和职业前景与终身学习是相互关联的,往往被视为研究人员、从业人 员、决策者和政治家所青睐的话题。由于各种职业,无论是活跃的、停滞的还是衰退的,都包括某些任务和技能,它们的演变(主要是活跃职业的演变)为终身学习的长期战略提供了必要的信息。然而,政策、战略和行动之间似乎还存在一定的距离。本文建议对就业市场、终身学习计划和受训人员的前景进行更细致的规划。论文还指出,有必要把重点放在那些很少参加终身学习计划的人身上,他们也被认为是从正规教育过程中辍学的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Employment and occupational prospects and Lifelong Learning in Greece
The present paper addresses employment and occupational prospects in Greece, in the period 2011-2022, highlighting the dynamic, stagnant and declining occupations and it also  addresses employment and occupational prospects in the near future (2022-2030). The role that Lifelong Learning  can play in an environment of abrupt changes is also discussed. The study reveals that in the period 2011-2022, the total employment rates in Greece increased by 1.0%, with the creation of 43,002 new jobs. A large number of jobs was created for general and keyboard clerks, health professionals and information and communication technology professionals but on the other hand, a large number of jobs were destructed. Therefore, the employment and occupational prospects in Greece in the near future require further attention. The estimates presented in this paper concern the time period 2022-2030, in a two-digit occupation code and they are derived from the application of the Oxford model (Oxford Global Economic Model - GEM), which is managed by NKUA, in the framework of its eLearning program. In this time period, according to relevant estimates, the total employment rates in Greece are expected to decrease by 3.4%, with a loss of 143,998 jobs in total. This negative development, that is expected to take place in an environment of increased production (estimates of the Oxford model), indicate a paradox that is  a period of economic growth which is not followed by the creation of new jobs (jobless growth). In light of this evidence, employment and occupational prospects and Lifelong learning are interlinked and often considered a favored topic for researchers, practitioners, policy makers and politicians. As occupations, dynamic, stagnant or declining, include certain tasks and skills, their evolution (and mainly in the dynamic ones) provide the necessary information areas in which long term strategy of Lifelong Learning should target. However, there seems to be a distance between policy, strategy and action. The paper suggests a more careful mapping of the job market, the lifelong learning programmes and the trainees’ prospective profiles. It also addresses the need to focus on those who rarely participate in lifelong learning programmes and are considered to also be the dropout rates from formal educational processes.
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