我们能否利用开放的未来？自生不确定性时代的准备与创新

IF 2.3 1区社会学 Q2 SOCIOLOGY

European Journal of Social Theory Pub Date : 2024-01-18 DOI:10.1177/13684310231224546

Elena Esposito

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引用次数: 0

摘要

未来是开放的，还是可以更开放或不那么开放？由于意识到当前行动对未来的不可控影响，最近引发了一场关于创新和合理规划风险的辩论。根据卢曼（Luhmann）的 "脱虚向实"（defuturization）概念，文章直面了 "创造未来 "和 "准备未来 "这两种方法，并建议将它们结合起来，以创新管理为参照。这就为迄今为止仅以应对破坏性事件为目的的备灾论述增添了一个有目的的维度：人们也可以为抓住和利用新机遇做好准备。

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Can we use the open future? Preparedness and innovation in times of self-generated uncertainty

Is the future simply open or can it be made more or less open? The awareness of the uncontrollable impact of present action on the future has recently raised a debate about the risks of innovation and rational planning. Relying on Luhmann’s concept of defuturization, the article confronts the two approaches of future-making and preparedness and proposes to combine them with reference to the management of innovation. This adds a purposeful dimension to the discourse about preparedness, aimed so far only at confronting damaging events: one can also be prepared to seize and exploit novel opportunities.

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来源期刊

European Journal of Social Theory SOCIOLOGY-

CiteScore

4.70

自引率

4.80%

发文量

期刊介绍： An internationally respected journal with a wide-reaching conception of social theory, the European Journal of Social Theory brings together social theorists and theoretically-minded social scientists with the objective of making social theory relevant to the challenges facing the social sciences in the 21st century. The European Journal of Social Theory aims to be a worldwide forum of social thought. The Journal welcomes articles on all aspects of the social, covering the whole range of contemporary debates in social theory. Reflecting some of the commonalities in European intellectual life, contributors might discuss the theoretical contexts of issues such as the nation state, democracy, citizenship, risk; identity, social divisions, violence, gender and knowledge.